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56.347 approximately
I note with some amusement the phrase something that is 100% porous.... Well stop there.
Nothing is 100% porous. Interestingly nothing is also 100% permeable. When I say nothing I mean a mass free empty space that may or may not contain energy. When I use the word permeable I mean in regard to fluid dynamics and not energy for which the permeability is something entirely different i.e. magnetic permeability.
Anyway with fluids something can be 99% porous but impermeable or if the fractures or pockets joined it may circa 99% permeable too. But when you have something with a porosity approaching 100% then that something approaches something better known as nothing.
Sorry to bore you all with pedantic etymology, but from a geological point of view the productive basement in Hurricane probably seems to be - or as time passes is more likely to be - a well connected system of fissures/fractures or one mighty lake of oil. It's just a question of waiting, the longer we wait the more clear it becomes. One thing I would like to see are the downhole pressures of the two wells when the other is and is not flowing and the pressure/time graph of these processes.
Funnily enough I thought it suggested that 90% had promptly returned as the living dead and were now ready to start voting Democrat. The lack of any reasonable co ordination and the almost complete absence of grey cell function acting as perfect set of prerequisites.
Political off topic sniping?
Yes long term use of these drugs is strongly linked to retinothapy.
Short term use to live may be a risk worth taking, who knows? All drugs have side effects always best to avoid them if possible, except medicinal alcohol of course, but it does impair your immune system...... bugger.
Everything you can do in life may shorten your life. The nicest things are often the worst. Absolute proof of a sadistic god.
The apparrent rate of growth of the infected might be a useful measure, and it might not. Take the UK, where to begin with everyone who presented with a 'reasonable' risk of being infected was tested. What 'reasonable' is might vary by area. Anyway, policy was changed so that people who were in a serious condition ( admitted to hospital ) were tested. As a response to the testing system being overloaded. Now the WHO have ticked off Westminster and the NHS and now more testing is being done. And even more 'soon'. The figures and the data from such variable criteria become meaningless. Most testing in most countries is pretty meaningless. Firstly testing has to be administered in a consistent way, the limitations of testing have to be acknowledged. We only know through UK testing the ratio of seriously infected people to the number of dead ones. When health services become overwhelmed then those that triage separates after being assessed into those rooms where they are left to die, the testing these people may not be a priority from a clinical point of view but useful for understanding the epidemic. We will never know the number being infected with the virus until we test people at random. Which I have not seen data on so far. Even random testing would not be the whole picture until we have a random test to identify people that have 'had' the virus.
Death rates? Unless we know the number infected then the number dying is just that. By itself it will tell us little. Death rates around the world have been quoted in some places as 0.5%, while in Italy I saw one news service quote it as 8.5%. This is the number of those tested positive that ultimately die. Not the number of people who catch it that die. We need an antibody random test plus an infection random test.
The data is extremely poor and by the time we understand the numbers, it may be too late for many. I have been modelling the spread for the last six weeks and today was the second day my numbers were more than 4% wrong. I think I failed to include a different Ro factor for Sundays. Just a possibility. The solution is deterministic after best guess.
The UK is on course for Italy style numbers in 8 days, 10 days behind where they are, only with a health service that was much worse than theirs. Initiatives can change the future, but there is a time delay involved circa 14 days.
Now where did I put that Hydroxychloroquine....
I think perhaps a deree of perspective is necessary before accusing others. If someone wants to go out at night and expose himself to risk there is a degree of selfishness involved. If they are not going home to families they merely contribute in an individual way to the number of infected. hey are only going to meet with other people who have decided to take the same risk.
The UK Government on the other hand are arguably forcing people to go out and GET infected. Teachers at schools will be castigated and disciplined for non attendance and the parents of pupils will be fined if their children do not attend schools. the government is currently busy giving local agencies emergency powers to enable making attendance compulsory if they choose to.
The government has been delaying banning mass gatherings and at the moment it is illegal to stop your children assembling with others in large numbers and then going home to families.
Yet you castigate an individual for taking himself out and going home to perhaps no one?
Your very valid concern is correct, but aimed at the wrong target.
Johnson's policy is to infect everyone as quickly as possible.
He is either the messiah or a madman. ( or of course extremely incompetent ).
Save your compliments or your ire for those that truly deserve it.
Happens when the market goes into auction usually passes after a few minutes.
If there is a network of horizontal fractures to an area that then has significant vertical fracturing any water in that area will reside at the bottom of the fracture system and stay there. having displaced any lighter oil. It will only be able to flow from the zone when pressure changes caused by extraction are able to to facilitate some flow. The pressure and flow rate countours surrounding the productive zone of the well bore are more complex than in a porous environment where the structure is much more uniform. Perched water must eventually decline unless the 'bubble' of water is very significant.
Yes good luck DBB - had OHS 7 years ago, rough at first but miles better since.
My daughter owns a fleet of vehicles. I'm not sure of the exact number more than 75 less than 150. small vans to class 1 artics. She attempted to supplement the fleet with some 2 ton electric vans. None that offered a reasonable range were available at an economic price. People keep screaming the benefits of electric transport but the clear evidence is that it offers no financial benefit, ( although it has idiot virtue factor ) but comes with a considerable downside. Range and recharge time. My nephews long range tesla will recharge at 130kw, but still requires a half hour break at the right location every so often. It's good and it's fast but it wasn't cheap. After 8 years the battery goes out of warranty I believe. I bet it's an eye watering replacement cost.
One day electric will be the best option. Maybe. But where does the electric come from? Flexible solar panels strapped to the back of fairies, butterflies and unicorns? Nothing comes without a downside. Even walking wears your hips and knees out.
Happy new Year all!
......Moscow
Geology may appear to be chaotic, as do many things in nature -a good analogy being the weather. Such sciences depend on many variables and the ways fluid dynamics interact with complex shapes. Only extremely complex models combined with huge computing power can begin to explain every situation. Individual components are well understood - it is just that the real world is far too complex to make clear predictions unless you're a precocious idiot brained little weasel predicting the climate.
The exact conditions late led to today's geology were created millions of years ago and even if we had all the data that was available at that time, we would still be hard pushed to predict with certainty any outcome.
Everything in creation is prone to quantum uncertainty although this may be vanishingly small, even the almost impossible occasionally happens.
I know one of the chaps that built part of the tree valve system. It seems there were perhaps design shortcomings there too. A great way of winding him up after a few drinks..
I think if an American company had found themselves picking up the tab after, it would have been much more modest. It was an excuse to raid BP's coffers when they were not primarily to blame. A nice cash injection after the financial crisis.
"All tolled" ha. I presume there must have been a charge or a fee to get consensus about the valuation!
Oh and to clear up your confusion
I am not aware of any challenge
I never criticised your opinion
I never said what my viewpoint was except in regard to Amer share price variation
I never accused you of mis-stating any 'truth'
I see no clear ridicule in anything I said
I never attempted to shut you up
There is no sadness involved in all these things I did not do.
Of course you may have got the wrong end of some theoretical stick.
I have no stick and I am not beating any drum with it except to say
I am interested in the Amer share price.
A million things may affect this in a complex way
Too much unnecessary 'noise' is just a ( off topic ) distraction.
I had a genuine question and I asked it. I am sorry if you had trouble with that squiggly thing at the end of my post. Best thing do is forget about it and sleep it off.
Your insights are remarkable. Did you attend the same school as Diane Abbot.? She another one with a truly incisive clairvoyance.
With a company invested totally overseas, operations overseas, producing a commodity priced in dollars, the only implication for the share price comes from the value of Sterling. A lower share price will only emerge with higher Sterling.
So you think that's the direction it'll go?
You say leave it out and then rant on like a true liberal.
Leave it out was the only sense you said.
Leave it out- this is Hurricane energy, not black lives matter.
And the Drivelcentre ought to know. See we can all spell badly.
Your baseless project fear rant has no place here. Run off and find a snowflake bulletin board and don't waste our time.