RE: Tax losses20 Feb 2025 14:53
Ok, So as I understand it in your scenario:
You are assuming that the Tax deal will not happen, that BM will not actual produce and that Lolworth will not turn out to be positive (despite all 3 progressing) and there for the SP will not move in the coming months.
You are also assuming that the current BOD will leave quite soon.
Then you are assuming a new management team will come in, smash it out the park and quadruple the SP enabling the current BOD to cash in.
That's a lot of assumptions and a worst case scenario that let's the current BOD get their "complete pay day" (of course in that scenario the SP will still quadruple which will benefit all current shareholders).
I think in most likelihood BM will go in to production ....and even with the conservative productivity figures (£2.8m/yr minimum) this will cause a significant shift in the SP.
I also feel it is likely that we will sell the tax losses ( Personally I think Octo will complete the deal, but if not (as I'm sure you next point is they might not) there are enough interested parties that i feel a deal will be done this year.....causing significant movement in the SP.
And then we have Lolworth with both academic and Government of Queensland geological department partnerships, excellent initial results and drilling planned for this year.....sizing up to be a monster prospect (still early days).
So your worst case scenario for the current BOD to fail and make a profit means all 3 current SP movers need to fail, the BOD leave and the SP subsequently quadruple (shareholders win)
More likely (IMHO) is at least one or two of the current 3 SP 'movers' is successful and the BOD makes a profit as the SP significantly increases.
At the end of the day the BOD will only make a "significant profit" if the shareholders do too.