RE: Newbie question27 Apr 2017 20:30
Cone head?!?!?!?! LOL Cheers Rev!
Hello Jasonunchained.
Erm, firstly, I know nuffink. But all the info is there in the RNS' if you take a few hours and read back through them all as well as the corporate presentations on the Sula website.
In terms of value, Mattwales has given a good view. Everyone values slightly differently and there are many unknowns so you have to make a few assumptions. I used an article on the kitco website to get a value of $34/ounce gold in ground value for Africa. Then based on 0.8m oz, 0.8mx34 then convert to £ and divide that number by today's current mcap. That resulting number gives you a multiplier to today's share price. However, that assumes:
1. No discounting - there's always some discounting depending on difficulty to mine, difficulty to separate metal from rock, distance to port etc etc.
2. No price for the existing Iron Ore asset. Previously, it was assumed to be worth 4p/share on the Iron Ore alone when Iron Ore was the lowest value of $27 or something/tonne. Now Iron Ore is higher, but if a deal is done with Shandong, we have no idea on the value.
3. There will be no further dilution to prove up the exploration target into a JORC compliant resource ready to sell or take forward for economic analysis for mining. We know from the IP survey that within the license area, there are 5 labelled target zones glowing bright pink that are likely to host gold mineralised rock and also two further zones which are unlabelled and may... be explored also. So to explore these will require further drilling and therefore money and therefore equity raising, and therefore more shares, and therefore less of a multiplier when the final asset size/value is calculated. Bit of a downer, but the flip side of that is that we should in doing so, have a significantly larger gold asset and higher company valuation.
Currently we have 0.8-1.5m oz from just one target zone alone. Sula will prove up all these areas and due to the strike length across all, we could be realistically looking at 3-5m oz gold or more, which if you do the maths and make some assumptions around discounting and ignore the iron ore, then you end up somewhere around 3-5p/share..
If you're looking for feasibility/costing for a mine, I'm most definitely not your guy!