Member Info for Svend

ntc, nice to see you back on board.

aye, i don’t disagree with the main chart reading here.

markets don’t need fireworks, war paint, chest-beating or captains trying to steer the world by ego and foghorn. they need calm seas, clear charts and dull old harbourmasters doing their job properly.

the truth is, boring politics is often the best wind for long-term investors. predictable governments, steady diplomacy, sensible policy and leaders who don’t need to be the headline every morning, that’s what lets capital hoist sail with confidence.

right now, the market isn’t just marking down one man’s mood swing. it’s pricing oil risk, airline disruption, inflation fears, defence escalation and the possibility that common sense has temporarily fallen overboard.

but the wider point stands: we need less pea****ing on the quarterdeck and more grown-ups quietly fixing the rigging.

less “deal on, deal off”.

less sabre-rattling.

less politics by tantrum and television.

give investors boring politics, boring statements, boring diplomacy and boring competence, because boring politics may not make grand headlines, but it often fills the treasure chest over time.

and at the moment, a bit of boredom would be worth its weight in gold.

A cease-fire for 3 weeks was agreed upon between Israel and Lebanon; this may lead to including the USA-Iran further down the road, I guess.🤔

SS17, Welcome back. Agree 100%, this is a wonderful company, and the next big nuclear step for humanity is the rollout of SMR first in the UK, Europe, the USA, and the rest of the world 🚀🙌IV

Clued,

1100p? Yes, easily, if the market keeps trading every missile headline like it’s a discounted cash-flow model.

But the ‘fewer air miles’ line is a bit loose. Airlines are cutting capacity because fuel costs jumped; that is not the same thing as global flying collapsing. IATA still had demand growing in January and February, GE still held its outlook, and Rolls still guides 2026 large-engine flying hours at 115%–120% of 2019.

So 1100p is a panic number. Meaningfully lower probably needs a real hit to flying hours, not just message-board doom.

Just need two things, humour & patience. IV 🙌

Well done, Buying a wonderful company at a fair price

Badland,

Quite so, the war may command the mood of the market, but it does not rewrite Rolls-Royce’s business every morning before breakfast.

If the storm blows over, the shares will likely recover. If the fools in charge keep lobbing cannonballs and extending the squall, then yes, the price may yet be tossed lower. But that is volatility, not a verdict on the ship itself.

And one small navigational correction, shipmate: we were not at 1,420 quid unless Rolls-Royce has quietly become the Bank of England with jet engines. We were at 1,420p and now around 1,143p. A nasty drop, certainly. But let us not turn a rough tide into a shipwreck.

What matters is this: the market may be spitting out its dummy, but the business is still the business. The sea is angry, not the hull unsound.

In short: foul weather, yes. Abandon ship, no.

Flyingdaleflyer,

Looks to me like RR is sailing through a hard squall, not heading for the rocks.

Boeing’s latest figures show the wider aerospace fleet is still moving forward: better revenue, better deliveries, smaller losses and a mighty backlog still in the hold. So this does not look like an industry collapse to me. It looks like macro weather battering a strong ship.

RR may be rolling in the swell, but the hull still looks sound, the engines still turn, and the long voyage remains very much alive.

Shareflyer

''The vertical red candle is lower than the green, driving 5678 to the upper 6532, this is show on the L2. 😂😂😂''

What is it supposed to mean? Or is it the muppet show?? Clarification, please.

Badland is just the current strong unfavourable winds against, rather than changing course. This shall change just like the fog lifts & disappears.

If flying due north after hitting fresh ATH mid-month, the fact that price remains above the January highs following the quickest, sharpest recovery in history (March 30/April 17), 6310 > 7147, is a true testament to its strength, notwithstanding the current Hormuz blockade turbulence.

The bigger the base, the higher in space. 🙌✌

ShareFlyer

Did you get it? "KISSS: Keep It So Simple, Stupid."

Mr Market (SP500) is rebounding after a quick revisit to the 50 SMA, with the hourly low bouncing off at 7047.12. While the cloud is potentially projecting more downside momentum towards resistance at 7025. Time will tell!

Probably taking the same direction as the futures when they open later on tonight, the rest is guesswork.

ShareFlyer, I coined it because markets now operate in a far more binary, narrative-driven world. The dominant global power projects its messaging instantly through social media, and sentiment swings from deal on to deal off in minutes. That is why I call it the ‘Deal On / Off and Rinse and Repeat System’, KISSS: Keep It So Simple, Stupid.

Deal On / Off and Rinse and Repeat System, aka 'KISSS' Keep It So Simple Stupid

Stargate agree the 1420 level now beacons down as a North Star acting as an incoming magnet.

A close above 380 would be very bullish for next week, with an initial target of 398, followed by 455/531

If not, they are getting toasted 😊

Happy Friday 1300 attained the next port 1400