RE: Sad but...21 Oct 2017 13:25
Nice article there Nero - one of the clearest I've seen on the topic.
I think CNR are definitely closer to stage 3 than 1 now, but even with the environmental permits out of the way there is still the BFS and debt financing to sort. And while I don't think that will be a problem, given the quality of the project, MC's financial background and the likes of JM, what's his name and the IMF on board, it will still take time - think 6 months minimum for the debt funding following a year to complete the BFS.
From where things stand I think you'd have to be pretty happy if fully funded debt-financed construction had started two years from now (Q4 2019) with first gold pour say mid 2021.
The wildcard is being taken over, but that has been touted for years on here ( I remember Jibbo going on about it even as far back as 2011!), and anyone who is banking on that happening is playing the long shot indeed.
For anyone who wants to know where Jibbo is now, he's in HUM, which is due its first gold pour (107koz gold/yr at AISC $700) in less than 2 months from now! Check out where that is on the life cycle curve...