Brexit22 Feb 2019 09:43
JTP, I agree with your viewpoint on the current deal and no deal, and that we were lied to prior to the referendum.
Where I diverge is on the topic of the markets. The market is forward looking (by at least 6 months) and so it has factored in what it considers to be the most likely result, at the moment. That factor will consist of a percentage likelihood of a deal being pulled off and the no deal scenario (and possibly other options like extensions, short or long term, and another referendum), and weightings applied to those percentages to come up with a total risk. It's a moving feast of course, but the recent recovery suggests that the market is positive, and it's still a way off it's high, so there's plenty of room to appreciate further.