Most Sensible Thing You Have Said21 Oct 2017 22:44
I must admit that is the most sensible thing you have said in a very, very, very long time.
I think you are facing the reality of the matter.
With only another 8 to 10 weeks of trading remaining, with the 6 month figures already in, the likelihood of "renewed sterling weakness" looking very unlikely, as the 6 month figures have already clearly indicated, a big fall in the share price during the last few months, Author Bridge still nowhere being ready, hardly anybody trading in the shares, the outlook for 2017 overall strongly suggests to me that the figures for the year end are going to be very, very flat indeed.
If there is growth going to be some growth in profits, then its going to be very flat, just a few percentage points. In terms of growth in 2017, Stilo has already clearly demonstrated in their 6 month end report that they have not been able to find any way of growing overall business, apart from a flat 4%, and with them clearly saying that the Author Bridge model is not going to be ready, overall growth for the company has not, will not and cannot come from anywhere else. Its the same old, same old; Stilo does good with Migrate but does bad with Omnimark; it does well with maintenance revenues but does bad with Author Bride etc, etc, etc..........
My overall gut feeling is that revenues are likely to come in slightly lower than 2016 but the bigger drop is going to be in the profits. Certainly going to be profitable again in 2017 but the disappointing thing being that they are not going to be able to grow on those 2016 figures, especially in terms of profits. Even if they do, like I have said above, its going to be on a very small percentage basis.
The name of the game here is "Longterm"!
Long term there are not going to be any issues for Stilo as they will have a lot more products on the market and the revenues will automatically come in form the following:
Omnimark
Omnimark maintenance
Migrate Dita
Migrate Author Bridge
Migrate Jats
Migrate Author Bridge
Of course, as most of us already know we currently only have Omnimark, Omnimark maintenance and Migrate Dita contributing. Like I have said many time before it is going to take quite some time to get Migrate Jats, Author Bridge Jats and Author Bridge Dita to start contributing in any decent manner. Lets not forget they have been working on Author Bridge since 2014; over 3 years nearly.
This share is for the long term investor. Short term investors will hardly make any serious money on Stilo.
I am very positive on Stilo long term. Even if my gut feeling is right and even if the share price does fall, this should only be for a year two at the most. Lets not forget though that even if this does happen Stilo has a huge amount of money in reserve to continue paying increased dividends for quite a number of years to come yet. Even if the profits come lower in 2017 and are still flat in 2018, they have enough profits and cash to co