RE: Upcoming placing20 Aug 2023 17:54
Last week's drop was due to the deal, GR’s interview and resultant concerns… nothing to do with the expectation that GR was going to drop £2m worth of shares.
All we know for certain is that 1000T is due to be produced for November. We’ve not been given any other detail about production. However, full production may not be expected until June 2024 – that’s when the alternative cash settlement schedule to Canmax reaches it’s highest amount. One might assume that the cash settlement schedule has been based on the production schedule. That’s now a full 6 months after the last known timescale for full production.
This is hugely disappointing and raises some questions about whether we know the real extent of the issues at Zulu.
And one has to ask why he is now not publishing the production schedule.
It is now very clear that the Prem cash position is more uncertain than we might have assumed. GR has made it clear that they need more cash before they get through to production. His now reduced loan isn’t going to get us there.
Stark are quiet and GR seems to have changed his attitude towards them. Are Stark being sticky about what they will and won’t be responsible for and therefore what they will and won’t pay for? Does Prem owe Stark cash and has GR refused to pay them? Let’s hope that relationship is OK and that it doesn’t fall apart.
If the above wasn’t bad enough, GR has undermined his credibility once again with Friday’s RNS. I can’t see any satisfactory explanation for him instigating the sale of his shares near the start of July... whatever he was doing, there are big questions about his comms to the market.
One important point is that, whilst his loan is outstanding, GR’s ownership is reduced. I think it was important to him to be the largest individual shareholder and that he won't want to be in that position for too long.
However, I think his position is in more jeopardy now than it ever has been... this might be a good thing! SK, the Telegramp group and the Pandora group should put aside whatever misplaced loyalty they have to GR and ask themselves seriously whether they would be better off with GR continuing as CEO!
As for anyone else waiting to step in... that seems unlikely!
As someone, who has been investing in Prem for the last 5 or 6 years, I had hoped that we would have seen some still waters by now... things are going to be turbulent for the foreseeable future.