RE: Wow!! x3 5M BUYS!!!5 Feb 2021 19:31
Good stuff Max. It would be great if these are buys. I can’t claim one this time... ;>
As I have explained before you can’t determine whether LRGS-flagged trades are buys or sells by looking at the quoted spread at the time-stamp. What has happened here in the background is that a market-maker has agreed a price with a broker and then worked the trade. The parcels making up the trade will have been dealt at different points over whatever period was taken for the fill to be completed. Under the LRGS process, these individual parcels aren’t disclosed at the time they are executed, but the whole 5m is declared (later) as a single trade. Obviously the MM is looking to fill the whole trade at a VWAP better than the 1.15p they committed to, as they will pocket the difference. We’ll never know whether they were successful or not, only that the end client dealt at 1.15p for 5m.
Over the last two days the price range has been from 1.05p to 1.275p, so these trades could be buys or sells or even a mixture. We can’t know for sure.
As an aside, this also explains why I keep saying that you don’t learn anything about market depth by dummy “market orders” online. Assuming for a moment that these three were buys, I am 100% confident you’d have got an NT if you’d tried them as dummy purchases. But the truth is it was perfectly possible to trade decent volume (10 x EMS) over the last couple of days.
This bound to be a leaky ship with so many contractors etc involved. We’ll first see indications of news in trade volumes. Perhaps that is happening here..?