RE: Fatberg challenge14 Dec 2019 10:28
Hi Romaron. Thanks for the interesting reading. It is frustrating for sure and something is occuring in the background and your theory is as good as anyone elses. Yes I agree we were probably teetering on the brink when the first RI was made. I do think that sometime in 2020 we will see a violent revision if the conditions of above 70k production and over 60 Brent. I indeed see that Brent may actually make its way up from here based on disappointing growth in US production, the OPEC+ agreement and a weakening US dollar. According to my spreadsheets if we average 72k and have a brent average of 65 then with Opex around 22 (could even be lower) and capex of 200 and interest of 260m will bring our net debt down to under 1bn. If brent rises significantly this will be reflected in the sp during 2020.