RE: market waiting14 Sep 2015 16:51
"i already mentioned vested interest in my previous post. He could be selling to his wife who has a vested interest in allowing RT to purchase > 10%... or is that me being too simplistic?"
the vested interest question is interesting. i'm not a lawyer, but imagine
it might be necessary for RT to exercise some caution that any buyer is
actually seen to be acting truly independently of him, rather than just
buying as a proxy on his behalf (when it would affect TR1 & 10% level)
also interesting in terms of market perception ... if DAN shares are bought
up by people who could already be seen to have a vested interest in trying
to support the price of DAN shares because of existing holdings they or
business associates have, that kind of share support operation would probably
be viewed as less bullish that shares being bought into by genuinely new investors
who see them simply as good value at the level which they have just paid.
"How do you think the share price will react in response to RT revealing the identity of the mysterious buyer and how will it react when his continues to purchase?"
... i don't know. i think it might depend partly on who the buyer of DAN shares was,
(e.g. as above) but more particularly would depend on **what the market thought of
the value of the asset** that had acquired in exchange for the DAN shares. if market
thinks that DAN has acquired a delightful bargain in exchange for a few shares, then
share price should go up. if market thinks DAN has overpaid for something, sp will go down.
if RT sells a block of his DAN shares to an asset vendor, but then promptly replaces
them in full with purchases in the open market of more DAN shares, so that he retains
the percentage he has now, then i assume market would see that very positively.
but if RT only buys back a proportion of the DAN shares transferred to asset vendor,
then market would probably be much more sceptical, seeing that as a net sale by RT.
i agree that liquidity constraints need to be taken into account, and yes, that could
pose a problem if someone wanted to buy a large block on open market quickly.
presumably, that might also be an issue for RT if he had sold on a block of DAN to
an asset vendor? - i.e. if one reason the asset vendor hadn't just purchased on open
market would be limited liquidity, wouldn't RT then face that identical situation?