IC tipped yesterday25 Sep 2015 17:49
Recommendation type: Income
Jonas Crosland
LondonMetric Property (LMP) was born in November 2012 from the agreed merger between London & Stamford Property and Metric Property Investments. Since then, it has shrewdly shifted its property portfolio out of office and residential and into areas where property prices have been growing more quickly, namely out-of-town retail distribution centres and convenience shopping. In doing so, it has managed to achieve a significant arbitrage between selling off highly priced assets and replacing them with cheaper acquisitions. And the company is now entering a new phase of value creation as it focuses on property development.
While LondonMetric still has some assets that are likely to be sold, the mixture in the portfolio has been changed dramatically. Residential and office assets comprise just 10 per cent of the portfolio, compared with 45 per cent at the time of the merger. In value terms, 90 per cent of the portfolio is now within its core sectors. Chief executive Andrew Jones takes an unemotional and pragmatic approach to recycling assets, and in the year to March asset sales totalled £289m, while investments in retail and distribution amounted to £309m.
Contracted rental income last year rose from £78m to £85.6m, and 20 rent reviews conducted during the year provided an extra £0.6m of rental income. Together with new lettings, this lifted rents by £2.6m.
The change in direction has been made to benefit from a seismic shift in the retail sector, thanks to technological advances and changing consumer habits. Online shopping, click-and-collect services and home delivery have left most retailers with an inadequate logistics infrastructure at the same time as a seven-year drought in the availability of big, purpose-built premises.
However, prices of such properties have risen considerably since LondonMetric began to refocus, so the company is now turning to development to get maximum benefit from the strong demand. Typical of the LondonMetric's drive is a pre-let agreement with Primark for a 1.06m sq ft distribution centre on the A14 in Northamptonshire on a new 25-year lease, which is expected to deliver a 6.9 per cent rental yield based on expected development costs - better than could be achieved from buying such a property in the open market. The current committed development pipeline totals 2m sq ft, of which 90 per cent is pre-let, while the company has a further 1m sq ft of developments conditional on planning approvals.
Finances are in good shape, too, boosted by a £400m revolving credit facility, while the loan-to-value ratio still looks modest despite edging up from 32 per cent to 36 per cent last year. Cost of debt has fallen to 3.4 per cent, while average debt maturity has been extended to six years. Rental income is expected to jump from £54m in 2014 to £74.5m by 2017, which should mean the attractive dividend is covered