RE: What could SD’s 30% discount cost you if you are a holder of 1m shares..?14 Sep 2024 23:35
starbright, anyone can play around with figures, to distort just how bad a deal you think sd has done, and i stress you think, it’s certainly not everyone.
it’s like me saying that if gh had decided to issue 1b shares at 38p when this was absolutely flying in late 2020, he could of raised £380m or us$500m, enough to have done this same deal four years earlier. so why didn’t he ?
at the end of the day the deal is done, get over it.
we already had 5.1b shares in issue, and for that we owned 30% of a future mine. so simple maths would say that to acquire the other 70% on a pro rata basis then the share issue would have been 5.1b divide by 3, multiply by 10, equaling 17b shares, and that would’ve just been for havieron.
funny eh what you can do if you play around with figures. it’s called selective accounting ! an art very much like statistics, whereby you can produce any percentage number you like depending on the question asked.
our market cap on the day we went into suspension was 5.1b x 0.07p = £357m for 30% of havieron.
independent valuation for 5% of havieron was valued at us$60m (£46m), so on that basis the other 70% of havieron was valued at us$840m (£650m). so to not only get 100% of the farm back plus 100% of telfer, plus all the infrastructure, tarmac runway, accommodation for 1700, power station, various jv’s that newmont hold, the o’callaghans tungsten mine, the largest in australia by the way, 30m tonnes of ore, (10m tonne from the rom that’s already been mined, plus another 20m tonne of low grade ore to put through the mill.)
of that they are hoping to process 22m tonnes over the first 15months to get us off to a fast start. they’re saying it’s going to produce in the region of 374,000 oz’s au and 13,000 tonnes of cu with a predictive aisc under $1500 per oz. with the current pog, a profit of us$374m could be accomplished. 60% will be hedged, so we won’t quite get the full amount, but when you consider we’re getting all of that for us$475m which includes the us$52m we already owed as part of the newcrest jv agreement, the deal was in essence done for us$423m.
anyone who thinks we’ve been shafted needs to give their head a wobble.
mom guy’s - “it just screams of a bloody good deal, especially when you consider what you’d pay for a freaking 150,000oz producer who probably isn’t even developed yet !”
charles archer - “ is ceo shaun day a madman who has destroyed shareholder value by diluting at a huge discount ? or is he a business genius who has assembled the mining equivalent of the og avengers in order to deliver the next gold major?
the answer, in my humble view, is the latter.
the key point is that you can value 70% of havieron and all of telfer using half a dozen different methods, and greatland has acquired the assets for tens of millions of dollars less than the lowest possible valuation, provided by grant samuel.
it’s a ******* steal.”
to all you naysa