RE: Don't be surprised if Falklands oil and GAS is suddenly19 Mar 2022 19:46
''but it is a big risk share''
Is it?? Perhaps, perhaps not.
Sea Lion alone is very profitable at $70/barrel with 250million barrels and a break even costs of $35/$40.
Gross profit - 250,000,000 x 30 is $7,500,000,000, at $85/b it is $11,250,000,000
So profit is not a high risk, which should in theory mean FID isn't high risk either.
Navitas were happy to take 30%, with PMO and RKH. With PMO/HBR now out of the frame Navitas jumped in and
''have signed detailed heads of terms for Navitas to farm-in'' to take 65%.
The ''risk'' is Rocks financial situation, and whether or not they will require to raise significant funds meaning significant dilution. Most feel ICSID will eventually award to Rock, but timing and amount is a ''Risk''.
If, and it is an if, OM does not pay out, or pay out in time, and they need extra funds, hypothetically just a 20% dilution at 7pence brings in £6million.
This is insignificant if it means Rock get to FID, Rock are carried as per the HOT agreement and Sea Lion goes ahead.