RE: JPMorgan Sees Gold Hitting $6,000 by 202923 May 2025 13:00
Maybe Major, but this is my take. 1980-1999 was post decoupling from gold standard, credit entering the mainstream market through credit card and equivalent services (Visa in its current service form in 1976, Mastercard in 1979 for example) as well as the rise in digital revolutionising banking and commerce. With huge wealth generation and printing of money to accompany it, backed by nothing except the belief in the financial establishment. Few crashes and corrections, government bailouts, but they haven't changed the same behaviour. So much money floating about that money is gradually reducing its value due to excess supply in the system. If there wasn't so much being hoarded by a few individuals, arguably this situation would be worse. As money loses value, assets are increasingly sought and value increases.
I can't see Gold reducing value any time soon unless a lot of money is suddenly removed from circulation and the relative currency value increases. I would argue that crypto delayed this effect somewhat, and is a perfect example of asset wealth storage for when money becomes worthless, because why would anyone buy crypto if money wasn't worthless?
I would also argue that China depreciating their currency for the last 30 years is in preparation for a huge swing the opposite way for when they gain the leverage to be top dog and shift from a manufacturing based economy increasingly to a service based one as well, which is already happening. The AI and Cloud computing space is the best example of this. If China's currency strengthens, the rest of the world's currency will weaken, and again drive the relative price of Gold up for anyone not dealing in RMB or HKD
Summary, Gold and assets in general are likely to keep and increase their value for some time, unless a lot of currency and/or people are suddenly removed from the world economy.