RE: Debt comparison25 Sep 2020 11:59
See below from RNS about the worst case scenario CINE thought of -
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The severe but plausible scenario models a potential second wave of COVID-19 in 2021 affecting several of the Group's territories to the extent that further prolonged, partial shut downs are required, affecting the Group's performance. The scenario forecasts a closure of major US states (representing 45% of US admissions in an unaffected year), 50% of UK cinemas and a territory in the ROW segment being required to close in full for a period of five months from January 2021. This represents a shutdown consistent in length with the period previously suffered in 2020, although the impact is less severe, following the more recent approach to regional/state rather than national lockdowns. Other sensitive cash flow drivers are consistent with the base case, including incurring a significant rent charge through a period in which large numbers of cinemas would not be operating.
The modelling for this scenario indicates that the Group would need additional facilities in order to continue to operate from early 2021, following the end of the current RCF extension. Financial covenants would be breached at December 2020 and June 2021.
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So if there is a second lockdown and closure of cinemas in major US states for full 5 months only then the group would need additional facilities and only then covenants would be breached in Dec 2020!