The really important 69 hours10 May 2019 19:22
People are, understandably, confused as to whether selling shares now would reduce their entitlement under the offer. So "if I sell now, do I lose out?" is a recurring question on this board at the moment.
The really important chunk of time is from 11am on Tuesday 21st to 8am on Friday 24th.
At 11am on Tuesday 21st, the deadline has passed for taking up the offer. Individual trading platforms may give you an earlier deadline to let them pool the applications from their clients, but everyone can be sure that come 11am on 21st, you're too late to take up the offer, even if you have your own Crest account.
At 8am on Friday 24th, the newly issued shares hit the market.
In between is a GM of the company starting at 11.30am. That will trigger some definite news, the more so if the Board should meet immediately afterwards.
At some point, we'll hear what the subscription rate for the offer was, and what scaling back was applied.
At some point, we may get some new TR1s. We know from Antos that, even if someone doesn't buy or sell anything under the offer, either their holding in shares or their holding in % terms will change. So we'll start to find out who now holds what, and who's stumped up significantly more cash.
Then the new shares hit the market on the Friday, but by that point the landscape could look very different.
So the issue is now whether you lose out by selling between now and 21st because of your entitlement for the offer. The issue is whether you lose out by being out of the game by the time that 69 hours comes around.