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07/01/2024 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.2900 ***Avg 41.24 Cal***
07/01/2024 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,331,111.0000 *** 79,540.81 Therms***
07/01/2024 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2034 *** 7.1830 MMSCF/D***
Daily Output (Therms) = 79,541
Month To Date (Therms) = 529,109
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.1830
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 47.8019
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,464
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,343,199
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.8346
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £661,994
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,383,519
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,362,766
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
H1 2024 Therms & Revenue
Jan-24 2,343,199 £1,383,519 Forecast
Feb-24 2,192,025 £1,417,000 Forecast
Mar-24 2,343,199 £1,514,724 Forecast
Apr-24 2,267,612 £1,301,612 Forecast
May-24 2,343,199 £1,344,999 Forecast
Jun-24 2,267,612 £1,301,612 Forecast
H1 2024 13,756,845 £8,263,465 Forecast
2024 Q1 Therms & Revenue
Jan-24 2,343,199 £1,383,519 Forecast
Feb-24 2,192,025 £1,417,000 Forecast
Mar-24 2,343,199 £1,514,724 Forecast
2024 Q1 6,878,423 £4,315,243 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.82mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,587
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £3,709,016
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £12,257,918
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.35
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.15
Jun-24 1.15
Jul-24 1.15
Aug-24 1.15
Sep-24 1.15
Oct-24 1.28
Nov-24 1.29
Dec-24 1.35
Regards,
21/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.1500 ***AVG CAL VALUE 41.24***
21/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,317,778.0000 *** 7.1583 MMSCF/D ***
21/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2027 *** 79,085 THERMS ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 79,086
Month To Date (Therms) = 1,570,116
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.1583
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 141.9756
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,922
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,317,790
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9257
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £710,750
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,432,275
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,410,791
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,317,790 £1,432,275 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,367,993 £5,199,483 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,317,790 £1,432,275 Forecast
H2 2023 15,314,984 £9,585,279 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.87mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,922
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £2,812,459
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,942,130
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.46
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.27
Sep-24 1.32
Oct-24 1.38
Nov-24 1.40
Dec-24 1.46
Regards,
20/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3000 *** avg cal value 41.24 ***
20/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,355,556.0000 *** 7.2536 mmscf/d ***
20/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2054 *** 80,374 Therms ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 80,375
Month To Date (Therms) = 1,491,030
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.2536
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 134.8173
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,859
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,311,097
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9298
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £707,668
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,429,193
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,407,755
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,311,097 £1,429,193 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,361,299 £5,196,400 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,311,097 £1,429,193 Forecast
H2 2023 15,308,291 £9,582,196 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.86mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,859
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £2,827,542
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,897,384
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.46
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.27
Sep-24 1.32
Oct-24 1.38
Nov-24 1.40
Dec-24 1.46
Regards,
19/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3200 ***avg cal value 41.24***
19/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,186,667.0000 *** 6.7416 MMSCF/D***
19/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1909 *** 74,612 THERMS***
Daily Output (Therms) = 74,612
Month To Date (Therms) = 1,410,655
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 6.7416
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 127.5637
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,767
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,595
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9308
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £699,577
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,421,102
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,399,786
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,301,595 £1,421,102 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,351,798 £5,188,310 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,301,595 £1,421,102 Forecast
H2 2023 15,298,789 £9,574,106 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.85mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,767
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £2,851,465
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,829,917
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.45
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.27
Sep-24 1.32
Oct-24 1.38
Nov-24 1.40
Dec-24 1.45
Regards,
18/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3600 ***AVERAGE CAL VALUE 41.24***
18/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,443,333.0000 *** 83,369.98 THERMS ***
18/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2128 *** 7.5150 MMSCF/D ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 83,370
Month To Date (Therms) = 1,336,043
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.5150
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 120.8221
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,791
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,300,963
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9363
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £703,150
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,424,675
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,403,305
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,300,963 £1,424,675 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,351,166 £5,191,883 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,300,963 £1,424,675 Forecast
H2 2023 15,298,157 £9,577,679 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.86mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,791
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £2,844,428
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,888,430
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.43
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.25
Sep-24 1.29
Oct-24 1.35
Nov-24 1.37
Dec-24 1.43
Regards,
17/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3600 ***Average cal value 41.24***
17/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,466,667.0000 *** 7.5927 mmscf/d***
17/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2150 *** 84,166 Therms ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 84,166
Month To Date (Therms) = 1,252,673
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.5927
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 113.3071
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,629
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,284,286
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9432
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £692,550
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,414,075
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,392,864
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,284,286 £1,414,075 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,334,489 £5,181,283 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,284,286 £1,414,075 Forecast
H2 2023 15,281,480 £9,567,079 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.84mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,629
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £2,884,357
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,772,397
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.42
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.24
Sep-24 1.29
Oct-24 1.35
Nov-24 1.37
Dec-24 1.42
Regards,
13/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.2900 *** AVG CAL VALUE 41.24 ***
13/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,260,000.0000 *** 6.9817 MMSCF/D ***
13/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1977 *** 77,114 Therms ***
14/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.2600 *** AVG CAL VALUE 41.24 ***
14/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,291,111.0000 *** 7.0594 MMSCF/C ***
14/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1999 *** 78,175 THERMS ***
Upto 15.12.2023:
Daily Output (Therms) = 78,176
Month To Date (Therms) = 999,303
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.0594
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 90.4409
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 75,028
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,212,741
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9617
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £637,385
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,358,910
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,338,526
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,212,741 £1,358,910 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,262,944 £5,126,117 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,212,741 £1,358,910 Forecast
H2 2023 15,209,935 £9,511,914 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.79mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 75,028
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £3,041,851
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,329,396
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.39
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.25
Sep-24 1.27
Oct-24 1.32
Nov-24 1.34
Dec-24 1.39
Regards,
11/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.2900 *** ave cal value 41.24***
11/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,258,889.0000 *** 6.9605 mmscf/d***
11/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1971 *** 77,076 Therms***
12/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.1700 ***avg cal value 41.24***
12/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,280,000.0000 *** 7.0241 mmscf/d***
12/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1989 *** 77,796 Therms***
12.12.2023
Daily Output (Therms) = 77,797
Month To Date (Therms) = 844,012
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.0241
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 76.3998
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 74,903
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,180,365
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9780
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £616,511
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,338,036
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,317,966
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,180,365 £1,338,036 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,230,567 £5,105,244 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,180,365 £1,338,036 Forecast
H2 2023 15,177,559 £9,491,040 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.78mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 74,903
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £3,079,597
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £14,231,636
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.39
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.25
Sep-24 1.26
Oct-24 1.32
Nov-24 1.34
Dec-24 1.39
Regards,
10/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.2700 ***Average Cal Value 41.24 ***
10/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,216,667.0000 *** 6.8440 MMSCF/D ***
10/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1938 *** 75,635 Therms ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 75,636
Month To Date (Therms) = 689,139
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 6.8440
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 62.4151
Average Per Day (Therms) From 01.11.2023= 74,776
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,136,331
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £0.9942
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £582,935
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,304,460
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,284,893
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,136,331 £1,304,460 Forecast
H2 2023 15,133,525 £9,457,464 Forecast
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,136,331 £1,304,460 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,186,533 £5,071,668 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 6.77mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 76,730
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £2,710,549
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £15,448,704
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.45
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
May-24 1.25
Jun-24 1.25
Jul-24 1.25
Aug-24 1.26
Sep-24 1.31
Oct-24 1.37
Nov-24 1.39
Dec-24 1.45
Regards,
07/12/2023 00:00 07/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3100
07/12/2023 00:00 07/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 1,335,556.0000 *** 4.1283 MMSCF/D***
07/12/2023 00:00 07/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1169 *** 45,571.06 Therms***
08/12/2023 00:00 08/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.1700
08/12/2023 00:00 08/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,251,111.0000 *** 6.9605 MMSCF/D***
08/12/2023 00:00 08/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1971 *** 76,811.10 Therms***
09/12/2023 00:00 09/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.0700
09/12/2023 00:00 09/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,290,000.0000 *** 7.0806 MMSCF/D***
09/12/2023 00:00 09/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2005 *** 78,138.04 ***
Regards,
06/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3300 *** AVERAGE CAL VALUE 41.24***
06/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,111,111.0000 *** 6.5050 mmscf/d ***
06/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1842 *** 72,034 Therms ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 72,034
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,301,912
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 6.5050
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 208.2354
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 84,786
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,912
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.0295
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £774,115
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,495,640
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,473,205
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,133,745 £1,322,507 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,183,947 £5,089,714 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,133,745 £1,322,507 Forecast
H2 2023 15,130,939 £9,475,511 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.66mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 84,786
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £1,942,754
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £19,089,398
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.75
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.35
May-24 1.31
Jun-24 1.37
Jul-24 1.44
Aug-24 1.52
Sep-24 1.61
Oct-24 1.67
Nov-24 1.75
Regards,
05/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3000 ***AVERAGE CAL VALUE 41.24 ***
05/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 1,538,889.0000 *** 4.7639 MMSCF/D ***
05/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1349 *** 52,509 THERMS ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 52,509
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,301,912
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 4.7639
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 208.2354
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 84,869
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,912
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.0362
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £779,094
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,500,619
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,478,109
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,113,882 £1,305,792 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,164,085 £5,072,999 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,113,882 £1,305,792 Forecast
H2 2023 15,111,076 £9,458,795 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.67mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 84,869
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £1,935,718
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £19,113,611
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.75
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.35
May-24 1.31
Jun-24 1.37
Jul-24 1.44
Aug-24 1.52
Sep-24 1.61
Oct-24 1.67
Nov-24 1.75
Regards,
04/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.3600 *** Cal Value Average 41.24 ***
04/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 1,861,111.0000 *** 5.7351 MMSCF/D ***
04/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1624 *** 63,503Therms ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 63,504
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,301,912
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 5.7351
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 208.2354
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 85,082
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,912
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.0468
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £787,071
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,508,596
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,485,967
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,235,408 £1,438,982 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,285,610 £5,206,190 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,235,408 £1,438,982 Forecast
H2 2023 15,232,602 £9,591,986 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.69mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 85,082
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £1,822,979
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £19,461,184
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.77
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.28
May-24 1.33
Jun-24 1.39
Jul-24 1.46
Aug-24 1.54
Sep-24 1.63
Oct-24 1.69
Nov-24 1.77
Regards,
03/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.2700 *** AVERAGE CAL VALUE 41.24***
03/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,123,333.0000 *** 6.5579 mmscf/d***
03/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1857 *** 72,451.13 Therms ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 72,451
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,301,912
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 6.5579
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 208.2354
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 85,225
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,912
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.0622
F/C Hedge 1 = £721,525
F/C Market Revenue = £798,681
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,520,206
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,497,403
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,324,338 £1,544,027 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,374,541 £5,311,234 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,324,338 £1,544,027 Forecast
H2 2023 15,321,532 £9,697,031 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.7mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 85,225
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £1,738,877
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £19,719,897
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.79
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.29
May-24 1.34
Jun-24 1.40
Jul-24 1.47
Aug-24 1.56
Sep-24 1.65
Oct-24 1.70
Nov-24 1.79
Regards,
01/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.0800 ***Average Cal Val 41.24***
01/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,208,889.0000 *** 6.8369 MMSCF/D ***
01/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1936 *** 75,370 Therms ***
02/12/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 40.9300 ***Average Cal Value 41.24 ***
02/12/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,260,000.0000 *** 7.0029 MMSCF/D ***
02/12/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1983 *** 77,114 Therms ***
30/11/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.1100 ***CAL VAL AVERAGE 41.24***
30/11/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,264,444.0000
30/11/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1984 *** 7.0064 mmscf/D ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 77,266
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,301,912
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.0064
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 208.2354
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 85,432
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,912
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.1656
F/C Hedge 1 = £698,250
F/C Market Revenue = £934,741
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,632,991
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,608,496
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,641,858 £1,914,447 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,692,061 £5,681,654 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,912 £1,632,991
Dec-23 2,641,858 £1,914,447 Forecast
H2 2023 15,639,052 £10,067,451 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.72mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 85,221
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £1,020,031
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £22,084,892
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.93
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.33
May-24 1.38
Jun-24 1.44
Jul-24 1.53
Aug-24 1.64
Sep-24 1.75
Oct-24 1.83
Nov-24 1.93
Regards,
29/11/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 40.8600 ***average Cal Value 41.24 ***
29/11/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,380,000.0000
29/11/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2086 *** 7.3666 mmscf/d ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 81,209
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,224,646
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.3666
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 201.2290
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 85,488
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,301,358
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.1656
F/C Hedge 1 = £698,250
F/C Market Revenue = £934,095
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,632,345
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,607,860
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,358 £1,632,345 Forecast
Dec-23 2,643,073 £2,107,800 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,692,722 £5,874,362 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,301,358 £1,632,345 Forecast
Dec-23 2,643,073 £2,107,800 Forecast
H2 2023 15,639,713 £10,260,158 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.73mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 85,260
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £908,662
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £22,422,727
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.95
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.35
May-24 1.40
Jun-24 1.46
Jul-24 1.55
Aug-24 1.66
Sep-24 1.77
Oct-24 1.85
Nov-24 1.95
Regards,
28/11/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 40.9300 ***41.24 AVERAGE CAL VALUE***
28/11/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,281,111.0000
28/11/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.2002 *** 7.0700 MMSCF/D ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 77,835
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,143,437
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 7.0700
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 193.8624
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 85,517
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,296,540
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.1684
F/C Hedge 1 = £698,250
F/C Market Revenue = £930,693
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,628,943
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,604,509
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,296,540 £1,628,943 Forecast
Dec-23 2,643,695 £2,108,578 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,688,525 £5,871,738 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,296,540 £1,628,943 Forecast
Dec-23 2,643,695 £2,108,578 Forecast
H2 2023 15,635,517 £10,257,534 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.73mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 85,280
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £906,229
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £22,434,186
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.95
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.35
May-24 1.40
Jun-24 1.46
Jul-24 1.55
Aug-24 1.66
Sep-24 1.77
Oct-24 1.85
Nov-24 1.95
Regards,
27/11/2023 System Entry Calorific Value, Saltfleetby, D+1 41.0800 ***AVERAGE 41.24***
27/11/2023 System Entry Energy, Saltfleetby, D+1 2,247,778.0000
27/11/2023 System Entry Volume, Saltfleetby, D+1 0.1973 *** 6.9676 mmscf/D ***
Daily Output (Therms) = 76,697
Month To Date (Therms) = 2,065,602
Daily Output (Mmscf/d) = 6.9676
Month To Date (Mmscf/d) = 186.7924
Average Per Day (Therms) From 06.07.2023= 85,570
Daily Hedge Requirement Therms = 50,000.00
F/C Monthly Therms = 2,295,114
Average Monthly Price Per Therm = £1.1721
F/C Hedge 1 = £698,250
F/C Market Revenue = £931,916
F/C Net Monthly Saltfleetby Gas Rev = £1,630,166
F/C Net Rev Less Disbursements = £1,605,713
Links To Source data Files =
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uk-natural-gas
https://data.nationalgas.com/find-gas-data
https://www.theice.com/products/910/UK-Natural-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5351152
https://gridwatch.co.uk/
Assumption That The Hedge Requirement Is A Daily Pro Rata*
Daily Output Of 50,000 Therms Per Day To Complete The Daily Hedge*
1) 6 Month Hedge Requirement Of 9,150,000 Therms / 183 Days: 01.10.2023 - 31.03.2024
2023 Q3 Therms & Revenue
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,295,114 £1,630,166 Forecast
Dec-23 2,644,843 £2,110,013 Forecast
Q4 2023 7,688,247 £5,874,396 Forecast
H2 2023 Therms & Revenue
Jul-23 2,957,493 £1,601,937
Aug-23 2,677,659 £1,463,168
Sep-23 2,311,840 £1,320,691
Oct-23 2,748,291 £2,134,217
Nov-23 2,295,114 £1,630,166 Forecast
Dec-23 2,644,843 £2,110,013 Forecast
H2 2023 15,635,239 £10,260,192 Forecast
12 Month Share Price Forecast: 7.73mmscf/d
PE Factor = 5.00
Ord Shares = 4,142,893,340
FC Avg Therms / Day = 85,318
Debt Outstanding KPI* = £897,662
12 Mth Rev-Debt = £22,460,126
F/Cast Share Price (p) = 1.96
Based Upon Current Market Data and Responsible Debt Repayment Plan
Share Price Forecast Tracker (p)
Apr-24 1.35
May-24 1.40
Jun-24 1.46
Jul-24 1.55
Aug-24 1.66
Sep-24 1.77
Oct-24 1.85
Nov-24 1.96
Regards,