RE: With Niall??24 Apr 2014 18:57
The only boundary change to have occurred is that of Crimea, and even Obama has admitted that is a special case. The current fracas is all about whether what is clearly a divided country should be allowed to become a federation of self governing regions. Czechoslovakia had the sense to realise that a lot of internal strife could be avoided by splitting, why can't the biggest country by land mass in Europe be allowed to do vote on whether to do some form of the same. The last thing the country needs is decades more of musical chair governance. Its this political instability that has led to the rampant corruption throughout all arms of government and civil service. I am fully aware that the current protests are being supported by Russian self interest, however their goal of seeking federalisation is also an initiative backed by many of the local population, especially those who would undoubtably loose their livelihood should Ukraine join the EU. Therefore based on current events I cannot see Europe adapting truly painful sanctions. Should events drastically escalate into a full blown conflict then the European position would of course change, however I feel that such a scenario would only unfold if Kiev were to do something insane eg as per Saakashvili's moment of madness in 2008. Lastly, when it comes down to what the EU does or does not do, the decision will I believe be made by Angela Merkel, whom compared to her American counterpart has been far more restrained in her criticism.