Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
Was that UT? or still in auction?
...neither on Share Risers nor on Share Fallers
I mean there's even an inherent fallacy:
1) "There should only be buying, selling occurring is bad, selling if millions is a definately a red flag."
...suggesting that because some people sell, fundamentals must be bad for some reason.
2) "Il be bailing out with my £1k invested once I break even."
...suggesting you'll sell too, for reasons entirely separated from any fundamentals.
Well, in the previous posts you really hid your true colours a lot better than in this one. Again, congratulations on your almost 7% hit rate on AIM stocks, which were the 2 out of 30 that you made profit on?
That's the thing that's so intriguing imo FiveCandles, that there hasn't been a new broker report by Liberum on the top of the - undoubtedly big - news we got. Mix this with "the volume and flow rates data from the DST is still held back". Mix this with "There's been a 3m£ buy". Mix in the wording used in some of the articles like "clearly confirms [a commercial discovery]", "world-class helium province", "*producing* helium system". And then you have a mix of signals indicating that big news are about to come.
There's always a risk, until we get proof. But if the outstanding news were bad, I think it's safe to say that they'd have raised closer to 10m, knowing that they have to fill their coffers now, they would easily have been able to on the back of the results we already got. But they opted to raise for a pretty small amount, which can help with strengthening their position in negotiations. All the signs are there really.
PhilWortha, let's hope so, means more for all of us to buy cheaper. Not really rocket science that a market cap of 90m£ WITH a massive discovery (that the CEO calls "world-class helium province" and that has been exciting enough for mainstream media like The Times to dedicate an entire article to) is undervalued when it had a market cap of 172m£ WITHOUT a discovery 2.5 years ago.
Let's see how this one ages, will Yana move to a 3 out of 31 hit rate?
Great advice again from a person who - as they write themselves - have an impressive hit rate of...wait...less than 7%????
That's just when the shares are admitted on London Stock Exchange, Crypto, the placing and its effect on the share price is already done. Same with every placing, the impact is immediate, but the "Total Shares Outstanding" number only updates after the placed shares are admitted on the stock exchange.
Regenerative system would be the dream, imagine perpetual 4BCM/yr with 4.7% helium.
This has been posted in the Telegram Group (credits to Tom):
The supply here could be limitless with the key being the geothermal hot fluids.
4.7% is massive compared to other geothermal helium readings.
I could forsee a geothermal / hydrogen powered processing plant extracting the helium and hydrogen
100% carbon zero
Zero greenhouse gasses
Zero hydrocarbons
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.geothermal-energy.org/pdf/IGAstandard/WGC/2015/39007.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwjhhIHfk5qEAxWf7wIHHeDoAhkQFnoECB8QAQ&usg=AOvVaw3PULMGXuzWwodA49XFXYwI
It's very erratic, looking at it on Bloomberg right now and the US OTC price (when converted to GBP) is miles out quite often, ended Monday at 81m£ market cap for instance whereas ours was 97m£, and still Tuesday opened blue for us.
Wouldn't really read anything into it for that reason, the volumes are tiny, 3 million shares traded in the US today. And it's all without MMs, matching buyers and sellers, so it means very little (although it does ofc follow HE1 long-term trend, no deviations in the long run obviously).
So wait...your message is "I have a hit rate of 2 in 30 in this, you should really listen to my advice"? Well, thank you very much.
You need no "roughly", right? Just take number of shares bought in that transaction divided by total shares outstanding.
It sure was above the 3% threshold, but then we don't know if they sold parts of it again later and were below the threshold again at close, or if it's one of these exceptions that only have to report after crossing 5%, etc. So the - unsatisfying - answer is: It could be, that we get a TR-1 on the back of that transaction.
Haha...that worked about as well as expected. Just search for heliumone or HE1 in Telegram.
*************heliumone
Indeed that is a risk, that some big player offers a 50% premium and gets the resource well under fair value from all of us. That's why it would be so nice to see this re-rate a bit more rapidly - I think generally most of us aren't in a rush, if it takes a year or 2, it takes a year or 2 to fully prove it up to full value, but seeing it rise to at least 5, but better 10 (both of which seem somewhat realistic market cap values without many more additional updates given historic market cap values and the fact we have a discovery), would ensure that it doesn't get snapped out of our hands for peanuts.
This has been posted in the Telegram Group (credits to Tom):
The supply here could be limitless with the key being the geothermal hot fluids.
4.7% is massive compared to other geothermal helium readings.
I could forsee a geothermal / hydrogen powered processing plant extracting the helium and hydrogen
100% carbon zero
Zero greenhouse gasses
Zero hydrocarbons
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.geothermal-energy.org/pdf/IGAstandard/WGC/2015/39007.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwjhhIHfk5qEAxWf7wIHHeDoAhkQFnoECB8QAQ&usg=AOvVaw3PULMGXuzWwodA49XFXYwI
Shawz, hard to tell what is the upper limit that is realistic, but the company had a market cap of ~£172m in August 2021 without a commercial helium and/or hydrogen discovery, so that could be seen as lower limit of what should definitely be realistic imo. Depending on the economics and scale of the resource, many multiples of that could be possible, but for that we'll need new updates from the company and most likely a big industry player as JV partner.
They'll be back tomorrow on some 2% drop as always..