My Two penneth....6 Feb 2026 17:49
As a long term holder of RELX shares and an ex-employee of the Elsevier division this is my take on this. Elsevier (a part of RELX group) is insulated significantly from AI risks and as a business is heavily leveraging AI tooling to become more efficient and significant advance research, and more importantly researchers. Why is it insulated - Well it's simply that Elsevier has a secure moat surrounding it's high quality peer reviewed data and intellectual property. This has previously been described as a paywall, but it does protect that part of the RELX business from external AI risks, and without access to this data any challenger is going to find it hard to match the quality of the Elsevier commercial offering. The area of concern is the Lexis Nexus(legal) part of the RELX business. Again Lexis uses AI to optimize it's business, and it's software and data analytics offerings. The difference here is that Lexis are focused on supporting the rule of law, more open source, and publicly share a lot of their data. As a result they don't have the same secure moat that Elsevier does and their high quality legal and analytics data, and services are more exposed to external AI solutions. This effectively means that disrupters (legal startups etc) in the AI market can build tooling that leverages the richness of the data that Lexis Nexis publicly shares. RBI (Another part of the RELX business) is a bit of a mix of the two, so there is also some potential challenge there. What is scaring the market is that parts of the RELX business are potentially exposed to this level of disruption. For me this is a slightly overblown concern as the recent releases of various LLMs are pretty immature, and frankly would need a lot of work, and very expensive training to achieve the same levels of quality that are delivered by RELX and some of the other companies exposed to this potential risk. There is also the question of quality, and whilst some may choose to use a disrupters tooling over a tried and tested business like RELX, I suspect that maturity and trust will win out. On the other hand the world chose VHS over Betamax so quality doesn't always win, and sometimes marketing and BS does. Clearly my own opinion, DYOR, GLA.