RE: Greatland Gold shows how holding firm in the face of pressure from the big boys can create significa14 Sep 2022 13:18
Hi Novice, GGP was considerably overvalued (in my opinion) throughout 2021. Shaun Day inherited a business with a dwindling supply of cash, and a complex, unfavourable agreement with its JV partner to resolve. The business is now fully cashed up to production, has somehow managed to avoid having to give away a further 5% of its world class asset, and has appointed 3 highly experienced mining executives to its board. I mistimed my entry and bought in first at 15p, but followed a strategy of buying in tranches. My average is now just shy of 10p, so I'm underwater, but fairly confident of a positive outcome over the next 18-24 months of holding. The path to production is clear and the GGP position vs NCM has been strengthened considerably with the addition of Wyloo as a strategic investor. I think the future is bright.
Comparing that with the progress of SOLG, who appointed DC in Nov '21. We have delivered a PFS that saw a decline in SP post publication (people buying the rumour and selling the news I imagine). We have as good as halted all new exploration activity. We have attempted to raise funds in a way that was so offensive to our two major shareholders we had to withdraw it. We have sacked/lost the person responsible for raising funds to supposedly develop and build a mine at Cascabel. We have lost our CFO after 6 weeks or so, and we have made several 'key executive' appointments, from whom we have heard very little/next to nothing (a genuine question - what are they currently doing?). Not to mention the fact that we are going to need to raise funds at some point fairly soon.
Objectively, it's not been great, and the short term outlook isn't good either.
On the plus side, we have managed to retain 85% ownership of one of the biggest copper gold finds of a generation. It's now up to the BoD to work out how we can effectively monetize that asset and deliver some long overdue returns to shareholders who have stuck with the company throughout all of the above. The problem is, we're all left scratching our heads as to how the BoD intend to do this whilst keeping BHP, NCM, CGP, and Nick Mather all happy (I personally don't think this is possible).