RE: Greed11 Oct 2023 20:55
Fort, this open ended strategic review is putting the for sale sign up - or listing on eBay as you'd have it - without formally doing so. We have received no bids, or no bids that the board consider worth making public. The share price has cratered. Were we to put a deadline on the process, I don't see why we'd suddenly see an offer materialise. If I was one of the handful of companies with the financial means to buy Cascabel (a cash rich major miner open to copper/gold plays in South America), I wouldn't have my hand forced by SOLG setting a deadline.
It would make more sense to just sit and wait it out, see if any of my peers bid and then counter should they try and acquire the asset at a price lower than I'm willing to pay. You can be sure that the price will fall further as the deadline approaches, too.
I still think that eventually the Chinese will make a move on this , but they've had their fingers burnt at both Mirador and San Carlos-Patanza in the country. They will want all possible guarantees that the same thing isn't going to happen for a third time at Cascabel. This means:
1) Ensuring that whoever takes over from Lasso is supportive of mining and developing Cascabel - this looks very likely
2) Ensuring that all permitting is acquired (water, tailings site) and that upon those agreements being made public, there isn't pushback from local politicians or indigenous groups (as has happened at the two other mines mentioned above)
I've never really bought PFS3 as a credible path for the company - it's what caused me to sell up a few months ago as the volte face in rhetoric told me that nothing was happening until later on this year. Turns out I was only half right, as buying back in at 14p was, in hindsight, a mistake. But here we are.