sage..24 Oct 2014 12:21
the way I see it with the assets is they have circa 400bopd from the oil, there is a JV venture with the gas, the refinery can handle circa 4000bopd of refined product. The wells are quite old but work-overs will add value for a company that has technology & wants to invest. I agree there is a shortage of shares & no seller in the background which will push the price up eventually, at the moment I am accumulating, because once the harvests improve & ethanol prices pick up I can see a dividend paying asset in the future, especially if we avoid dilution. The debt should be manageable in the future if it is restructured correctly. $47.4m in the bank will put us in a strong position too..there are a lot of factors that will lend weight to any decisions made, not least the various Peruvian pension funds invested at levels a lot higher than we have been paying, 50p- £1+ in most cases..these ii's will not be keen on dilution for someone else to walk in & start creaming profit with a 75.9% stake, whilst their cash is reduced to 24.1% in the wake of the 'proposed transaction' which I think has been dressed up to take advantage of the distressed state of the business.
The ethanol asset is world class & if we are left owning 100% with the £47.4m in the bank I think were onto a winner, add the extra 2500 hectares to the 13500 we already have & there is scope for a fantastic business..the Distillery, the land the reservoirs, pump houses port infrastructure, power station including 37km of electrical transmission to the national grid, off-take agreement with Mitsui for ethanol sales, vehicles & plant everything all in place, a real state of the art operation with ii's backing..