RE: Fire sale5 Jun 2025 19:06
They certainly picked the wrong day to make the announcement with PGM's seemingly improving. Current PGM basket is about US$1,600 / PGM ounce compared to about US$1,425 for the first three quarters. If (a big if) prices are maintained at this level, PGM's would generate US$20-25m gross profit per year. Chrome is the big unknown, at the current price we might generate US$30m gross profit but chrome is very volatile and could easily loose a third of its value as happened at the start of the year. That would wipe out a big chunk of potential profits.
If someone else sees more value than the current offer then we might see a counter offer come in. I'm minded to vote against at the moment simply because they haven't yet demonstrated profitability in Zambia and I don't see the rush to sell up in South Africa right now. Anyway let's see what information is forthcoming. If there's good news from Zambia in the meantime, like actual production numbers and profit margin, or a deal to manufacture the copper modules, I might change my mind.