RE: SBP post removed5 Nov 2019 10:30
The whole thread about the 50 million trade was removed, but it may have been my contribution that caused it.
if so, we can try again and see what happens ....
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Good evening Harry
When Malcolm Graham (Malcy) recently gave his views about the NUOG reconstruction as a cash shell, he said that trading would be “choppy” on the day of the EGM. He was right and around 25% of the equity changed hands today for only a 10% fall in SP. Those who did not understand the company’s strategy sold out; those who did bought in.
The cash shell is worth the £8 million of tax losses to be set against a RTO producing asset’s profit which could be earning say £40 million in revenue reportable in UK. There is added value of say £500,000 of avoided listing costs for the RTO target, plus accelerated market listing for the target and its stealth value plus cash in bank. I am saying that NUOG is worth £10 million now as free from Minty, against £1 million market cap. Even future dilution of x5 leaves it in a positive place.
If the RTO asset is highly attractive and has upside, even more dilution will not kill off the added value in market cap. I do not expect cash will be required for the RTO, more an all share deal.
Of course, there has to be a deal and the new directors are not now going to suddenly start looking for something. Scotton and Parsons stitched this up months ago when Scotton talked about acquiring a producing asset in a podcast which is now deleted.
There is some speculation about Cuba. There is a licensing round coming up offshore Gulf of Mexico and there is a final roadshow for licence applicants on 27 Nov, so some urgency is required if this newco is to take part. That is not the revenue bit, that will be a European company looking to take part with East Europe technical support which gets around any USA trade embargoes. Azerbaijan enjoys a good relationship with Cuba, and Scotton used to work there, so as they used to say in the old days “join the dots”…..
I think Bentley is history, I once thought that it might form part of an FPSO asset swap with Dommo in Brazil, but that is long gone and Whalsay Energy is looking at more conventional solutions.
As for the last 12 years under family stewardship, what a tale of hubris, arrogance, incompetence, proven lies and outright fraud (IMO). Waste on an epic scale. MBA study material on how not to do it.
Cuba Energy plc ….Viva Castro!
Anyone with a better analysis? Please join in!
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