RE: City / Institutions15 Jun 2025 11:44
I thought that half the idea of these chat forum boards was to discuss the shares that we are invested in and to debate different opinions of what we think the next steps will be so here goes for my opinion on how we stand now!!
Obviously GCM has always been a binary bet, BUT that bet has just had its odds vastly improved with recent developments…
Before Hasina and the AL were taken over, we really did believe that there was a chance that Phulbari was going to be mined, just from all the press speculation and from everything that Nasrul Hamid (the old Energy Minister) was saying about Bangladesh using their own coal and specifically mentioning Phulbari hence the rise to 13p (I believe from memory)
As we all now know, that was all just BS, and because of the corruption we were still probably miles away of getting that green light….
BUT, now things have significantly changed and the probability of getting that green light very soon imvho is more likely than not…
✅The Interim government have recently said that own coal should be used, and said that they were starting to do the background work, so that the in coming new government could review and move forward if they wanted with their proposal
✅ They announced this change of thought process at a coal seminar where all but one presenter agreed that own coal should be used
✅ Even Anu, who has always been very much against mining their own coal said that because of the situation Bangladesh is in, they now have very little choice
✅The chances of the BNP winning the next election (by a landslide) are very high
✅ We know from their previous politics and from their new manifesto that they agree that own minerals and resources should all be used so as to reduce the imports
✅ We know from the Coal Seminar held earlier this year that there is already a mining engineering company that has shown interest in investing $15 Billion (speculation at the time was that this would be Power China) but that was obviously never confirmed.
✅ All Yunus has been doing is borrowing more money rather than sorting anything out and the repayments and interest are not sustainable, it’s borrowing to pay down existing debts, and does not even cover that!
✅ Industry in Bangla is declining and factories closing due to a shortage of electricity
✅ Countries around the world are apparently waiting to invest massive amounts of money to develop Bangladesh, but won’t do so without an elected government in power
✅ When we finally get that elected government, and the investment comes, they are going to want to have some guarantees that they will have electricity.
Continued on second page (sorry lol)