RE: Everything8 Jul 2021 14:58
At this point in time I would say inflation is transitory, until proved otherwise.
In the US 20% is car prices, due to shortage of computer chips for cars. Definitely transitory. 20% energy prices, just going back to pre covid. Which doesn't mean they won't go further but it will require OPEC plus to increase output for it not to do so. Something they don't appear to be able to agree on.
Same in the UK but we can throw in house prices... maybe not with the end of the stamp duty support. But all that pent up consumer savings waiting to be spent. But surely that too is transitory?
One thing always make me think that inflation has no chance of rearing it's ugly head, is the computer and AI Revolution.
70-80 spiraling inflation and high unemployment....a contradiction in terms?
The 90s onwards very low inflation high employment... another contradiction in terms.
The petering out of an economic Revolution and the start of new one. One with a long way to go.