RE: New media17 Nov 2020 17:29
There will not be enough vaccine available until at least middle of next year. How effective is the vaccine exactly? Do they administer the vaccine then subject those that are vaccinated to the Corona virus? That would be the only to see just how effective the vaccine is. How long is the vaccine effective for?
Covid is not going away this year or next year. If fortunate it will be well under control sufficient for us to continue our lives without too much upheaval.
The corona virus may mutate to a deadlier strain but this is rare in viruses. For the time being masks will continued to be worn until such times as new infections drop to nigh zero, the vaccine proves effective with no side effects and everyone in the country has been vaccinated or has antibodies.
it will be closer to a year at the very least from now before that is realised. As a matter of precaution, masks of this type will be used by the Health service with sufficient stocks to cope with a similar pandemic. look at circa 100million plus minimum.
If the vaccine is 95% effective that still leaves 5% of the population ie 3.5 million people. That is around double the amount of cases detected since the outbreak.
Further more are these vaccinations suitable for small children ie babies and people who have underlying conditions as well as people in their old age. The problem with the corona virus is it can create a cytokine storm. Have the new vaccines been tested so as not to produce this?
I feel the reality the markets have over reacted to uncertainty of these masks being in demand for a considerable period of time. We can look at market cap as a better indication than SP. The market cap will be justified on current production and future production and annual turnover/profit. There is not much turnover at the moment, but the potential is there. Until orders are confirmed and orders are met this SP will not be climbing much above where it is now.
We are at the worst time of year for a virus to spread, as really is the ideal condition for a virus to thrive.
Regards all, rampers and derampers included.