Retail Week4 Dec 2016 21:49
Online grocer Ocado will update the market on trading in its fourth quarter next week amid a backdrop of a supermarket price war the looming threat of AmazonFresh.
City analysts expect another solid period following its third quarter, which saw a 15.4% rise in gross sales to £314 million, with retail sales up 13.6% at £286.4 million.
Andrew Wade, analyst at Numis, said: "Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we expect similar trends to play out, with strong order growth but basket size continuing to decline, and look for retail sales growth of plus-13%."
In a sign of the toll taken by the ongoing price war, Ocado revealed in September that its average order size was down 3.4% at £107.94.
The price war, sparked by the rise of German duo Aldi and Lidl, has engulfed the sector and has seen all of the so-called Big Four supermarkets - Tesco, Sainsbury's, Asda and Morrisons - come under pressure.
Ocado has not been immune, and chief executive Tim Steiner cautioned over the group's profit margins in the last trading update.
Mr Steiner said: "As the market remains very competitive, we are seeing sustained and continuing margin pressure and there is nothing to suggest that this will change in the short term."
The group is also facing pressure from the recent launch of Amazon's rival fresh food service.
Ocado's shares plunged to a three-year low in June after the arrival of AmazonFresh, although the stock has since recovered.
But Mr Wade added: "There seemed to have been no noticeable impact from the nascent Amazon Fresh operation, something we believe has continued to be the case."
The City is still awaiting details of an international deal for Ocado. The group had originally said it hoped to strike a deal by the end of last year.