Member Info for Robina

Patient/CSDI1962,
If I look at the sp movements up and down since last Nov, I might predict a fall to around 125 and then a rise back to say 137.
Suppose I try to play this strategy - then I guarantee it wouldn't work.
If I don't then it will.
So I could get someone else to play it for me. But 'the system' would know that we have made this plan.
Maybe it would work if they were far enough away across the Universe to prevent the transmission of information due to the speed of causation (i.e. light speed). Even then, when they came back, time would have moved on significantly (for them).
Regards Robina - Space Scientist with history of large losses on Vodafone, plus the felony of high charges to unlock my 2nd hand iPhone which was with Vodafone.

CSDI I think your tactic makes sense. If you get it right swing trading would be sensible but I have always had a knack of getting the timing wrong. If I buy low it goes lower. If I buy high it also goes lower. I try to use indicators like volume sold/bought (if the stats can be believed) plus MACD etc. but something always seems to come along to break what appears to be a trend. Can't remember what it was a short while back but some negative news came out literally 5 minutes after I made a purchase - like it was waiting for me.

It would be nice to see a sustained uptrend. My jaded view is that it will rise up to div pay date whence lots of reinvestments will pay the higher price then drop back again.

OK for all the delusionals - how exactly is HUR looking good? As an LTH reluctant to sell at a massive loss lest we have some miracle turnaround I'd really be interested to know.

Ah right. Thing is, who could have predicted the fairly large drop at the opening? Rhetorical question.

If it gets to 2.62 then I'll buy more with greed. But I think that'll only happen if there is some world event like a 4th covid wave or they discover that planes can run on AAA batteries.
The strongest factor of a descent to 262 would be for me to top up now.

The simply wall street analysis computer was having a datafeed error. Does it understand what a fractured basement play is?

Well I feel it's been overhyped and confess I fell for it.
A steady earner though esp. from govt contracts but don't believe the growth story is strong.

When you say there was a gap to fill - where did that idea come from? If you can confidently see a gap down, then why not sell and buy back lower? Perhaps you did and will....

Starting to see a little uptrend I hope but as things are very precarious on planet earth it seems little upticks get sold off.

I believe the sp should be around £18 looking at the long term trend.
It doesn't have a big growth story like AWS.
Dividend is small.

Absolutely. £2.37 fair value for an unprofitable high - risk venture is delusional.

How about I sell my SMT holding - that'll cause more of a rebound than anything like manager changes or the NASDAQ. It always does, but there's no way I can capitalise on it, since like the quantum particle - even before it exists it knows if there is apparatus there to measure it.

I can see why a return to c.280 say (not 260) may appear likely from the chart wave, but this makes the sp appear to behave like a process in nature rather than being driven by sentiment, bond yields, OPEC shennanigans and all the covid etc dramas.
I can't see how a gap analysis could do much more than point to daily changes. What about today's one. how does that show in the TA? If it did, why didn't everyone sell yesterday?

What's all this gap analysis nonsense? !
Anyway, twice as many BP buys today than sells if the figures can be believed. The opposite for Shell.

A month on from the last comment below: do you think this will come to anything?

Well the rebound after the tech sell off last week didn't last long. It's like the market is scamming us.

Looks like the selling has started?

If you take a starting point of £5 2 years ago (Mar 19) and run a straight line through the chart for 12 months or so, you would project today's price at around say £8.5. This assumes a linear growth. The meteoric rise in the last 6-12 months could therefore be regarded as an anomoly. On that basis, and whilst considering I'm always wrong, I'm minded to nab a few more soon in little chunks.

Given that the US market isn't yet open and futures are not -5.5%, why the decline of that amount today?
Is it simply that investors are selling out?