RE: This is where we're at, everything else is just noise25 Mar 2021 12:13
Long9
You are of course free to think that way however I think you are wrong in suggesting that is the only interpretation of the time element.
Imagine the following scenarios, they could all create delays and extended time due to their complexities:
1. JV arrangement - how is this put together, who gets what, how are revenues shared, is there a payment upfront, who pays for what, who runs it, who are the BOD, are dividends paid, if so, how.....so many details to sort out.
2. 2 buyers sharing everything - see above and add a whole load more complexities
3. Consortium involving multiple players - see above and then add a load more complexities on top again
All the above would require multiple lawyers, and various other stakeholders having their say potentially across multiple legal, financial and political jurisdictions and languages - imagine trying to sort through that?
Add in the significant metal price increases which I have said before will undoubtedly have altered things, no way did anyone expect or foresee the changes to the market prices even last July (check out the predicted prices in the EUA presentation), they are way out. I know long term prices will be used etc etc - but this will have changed the dynamic and models will have been redone and redone again.
I do agree that if it were a simple sale for £1b then perhaps we could have expected news by now, but that has not happened, and I posted on here last year that for me, based on some of the things that had happened, some form of joint venture was more likely and I still think the same now.
In short, I just don';t think you can say it has taken 8/9 months therefore it ain't happening - took me 4 months to sell a 2 bed house in Telford last year, no issues, 2 very willing parties (1 buyer, 1 seller), no chain, no issues, just the most simple process you could imagine - 4 months to complete and I had agreed the sale and price with the buyer within the first week!