Shore Capital - very positive update7 Oct 2021 14:16
Just read Shore Capital's update.....they say the current multiples "significantly undervalue" SUR.
They've left their forecast for this year at 7.8p EPS, but this is conservative, since the order books at 30% higher are above forecasts.
Similarly, the cash pile is well above their forecast. They now see a £21.4m cash pile at 30/9/22.
Their conclusion:
"Valuation hit by misconstrued gas price fears: The shares, which had risen strongly through most of the year, have fallen 28% since the 23 August peak of 97p, based on, as far as we can see, fears that rising gas prices could hamper the Compliance division’s activities. The Group is required by law to carry out its Compliance functions, which are not impacted by energy pricing. On this basis, the FY22F P/E of 9.0x, EV/EBITDA of 5.7x and 7.2% FCF yield, in our view, significantly undervalue the growth prospects and low risk profile".
Incidentally, SUR already have a £4.1m provision against legal and contract obligations etc as per the 30/9/20 accounts - much reduced from £7.7m a couple of years earlier due to releases of earlier provisions which would have been made after Grenfell.