RE: Great trading update, plus placing1 Aug 2023 11:24
For the record, Cenkos' latest note forecasts 17.4p EPS this year, rising to 24.2p EPS and then 27.1p EPS.
The cash pile is forecast at £9.2m at the end of this year, rising to £11.3m then £16.9m.
And the dividend is 5.9p rising to 6.5p and 7.1p.
They summarise (extracts):
"TClarke Plc
Momentum into H2 and beyond
Following the successful placing, todays interims are in-line with expectations, with revenues at a similar level last year (with significant growth forecast for H2) and an improvement in the margin to 2.8%. The group has excellent revenue visibility and is taking strong growth momentum into H2 and beyond, particularly with contract opportunities in the London region. On a FY24E PE of 5.5x, EV/EBITDA of 2.6x and an attractive 5% yield, we believe the valuation significantly underestimates the ongoing growth potential and quality of earnings. BUY."
" Forecasts: We make no changes to forecasts post our recent upgrades, following the placing. The proceeds of the placing will provide additional resources which will enable the group to capture and deliver identified short- to medium-term attractive contract opportunities in the London business, (which are expected to be margin enhancing). The placing is expected to be significantly accretive to underlying profitability. We forecast an operating margin improvement to 3.2% in FY25E, up from 2.4% in FY23E, with a 2-year CAGR (FY23-25E) in EBITA and EPS of 30% and 25% respectively.
View: In our view, management’s track record of delivery to date of its growth ambitions, which has been achieved without acquisitions or fully supportive endmarkets has been excellent. The recent placing will allow another step change in the growth profile of the business, whilst also (and importantly) improving the quality of its earnings. There looks to be significant opportunities ahead, backed up by supportive end markets, such as government backed investment in infrastructure, the move to net zero and the significant expansion in the Data Centre market. On this basis, TClarke looks very well positioned to benefit and we retain our BUY."