RE: Singer Capital : Buy on P/E of only 5.63 Jun 2026 14:16
Singer Capital's latest note summarises as follows - as a reminder, they forecast 6.3p EPS to this September, rising to 8.2p EPS.
"On course for 2026; 2027 could sparkle
The 1H 7% EBITDA/10% revenue advance was in line with our 1H view, and consistent in our opinion, with maintaining our FY September 2026 forecasts.
While those rates of 1H growth are a little stronger than the growth rates we are estimating for FY 2026E, we are happy with that degree of comfort, given the general overall economic backdrop. The value led sales approach focused on profitable work, has led to an improvement in the Gross margin to 32.4% (H1 2025: 32.0%), and as the statement notes, the Group are ‘benefiting from disciplined pricing, better job allocation, and a sales culture centred on gross profit rather than top line volume.’ Despite the ongoing effects of the competitive backdrop, for instance in areas of Contract Maintenance, which are broadly consistent with the conditions outlined at the FY25 results, demand for essential reactive and planned services continues to be resilient.
The Group have notably seen a strong contribution from 24hr Aquaflow Services and Project Sparkle is now fully live at LaddersFree, providing real time operational visibility and a scalable digital platform. At this stage, the impact of the Middle East situation on input/logistical costs look manageable but being monitored.
We retain our 69p TP/Buy, based off a FY 26E target 11x PER"
"Valuation is undemanding
React trades on a Sep. ’26 PER of 7.4x versus UK FM peers on c10-11x, with the current multiple also looking low relative to the Group’s own long term average PER (NTM) rating of c11x. We continue to target a PER of 11x to drive our 69p 12m TP.
We once again highlight that acquisitions such as 24hr Aquaflow have demonstrated that the Group can add value inorganically too, and there could be further scope to enhance through M&A. Recurring/repeat revenue remained above 85%. While the Group is not immune from adverse macro headwinds, we quietly believe that this Group could begin to see a strong reacceleration of growth in 2027E, as investment for growth begins to bear fruit."