Do the math!2 Oct 2021 11:53
This is a total no brainer for me to hold existing/buy new now. I'm with Paddy and Mary.
Lets say they need £100million and decided to dump more shares onto the market to raise the cash, at todays £1.74 that would require circa 60million shares.
Now, assuming the same market cap as today, that would mean a price of roughly 1.50 which initially sounds rubbish for us holders. Despite me getting in a fair bit below that number on Monday morning :D
But, the analysts who have come out with targets since the news, predict a £3, £7, more even share price.
I am somewhere in that range as I see this flying as they start to win work again and the oil market recovers.....more if the new energy markets pick up further down the line. We may not see £17 anytime soon, but it could go a long way towards that figure eventually.
Those £3 and £7 targets equate to a market cap to 1billion to 2.4billion.
Even if we take the lower 1billion , with 400million shares in circulation after dilution, they'd be @ 2. 50.
The £7/2.4billion target would be more like £6 a share!
And that's with dilution. So at todays price of £1.74, people will be snapping these up!
Me included ! And especially if there's an initial drop below the £1.74 price of Friday!
And that's all worst case, they'll more likely get a refinance deal on their existing debt as others have mentioned, which i guess would be less of an impact to share price as by then, they should have a few new contracts in the bag and have plenty to pay for any resulting increase in financing costs.
Win win. Congrats to all the folk on here who got in early and hold tight those who bought in higher, your time will come and you may yet get back into the green!