RE: Well thats...16 May 2017 10:17
Apologies for the late response, I was on holiday. Now to address your points for a) & d) the sellers are not the placees, but the broker (Shore Capital) who took a chunk of the placing and are using them to regulate the share price and provide liquidity to meet the open market demand. With regards to point b.) your figure of 80-90% wastage is over-estimated and is more in the 60-80% range depending on the shape of the stone (chosen to minimise wastage) and once heat treated the colour saturations increases and so it isn't like diamonds where the cut is strategic to reduce/eliminate visibility of inclusions etc. In my opinion the larger rough stones should be stockpiled for sight sales as good quality large rough commands very strong prices.
Your figures for ct produced are considerably off to me, we have inventory at the end of Q1 of 2017 of just over 1.6m cts, with total production of over 4.2m carats to date, if we use a highly provisional 1% gem quality with 30% yield that would leave potential cut and polished inventory of around 12,600 carats. In my opinion the stones sold to date are not the larger cut stones that we are stockpiling which are far more valuable (up to 1000 per carat), the wholesale buyers are more likely to buy the smaller more commercial stones up to 2 carats for example, considering this the figure of $35.2 per ct of fully beneficiated material is a huge under estimate.
At present grades are increasing and costs are coming down so we are close to profitability. Once we find the correct avenues to sell the lower quality material to cover the OPEX then the higher quality material will be the source of profit, as is the case with other coloured gem producer. Everything is falling into place fingers crossed.