RE: Quady28 May 2020 07:56
Good morning interestking, when you talk about the 2008 disaster, I take it you are talking about the banking crash. This was entirely perdictable in 2005. The reason being was the adaptation of Basel two. In particular capital tier lending ratio one, that was reduced on its 100% book, from 7% to 2.5%, so banks could lend the same amount, with only 1/3 of the capital reserves. It was a self made problem, by greedy European governments, which was made worse, by the credit reference agencies, giving packaged mortgage debt, triple A ratings, and passing it from financial institution to financial institution, in the form of SIV's ( structured investment vehicles ). Everyone saw this coming, governments were warned, but took no notice, as they wanted, and some would argue needed, the extra tax take on the increased lending. This enabled mortgages above 100%. Governments, should have cut their costs, as you couldn't tax most of Europe any more. France, still has to go through this correction. So have to disagree, the tools are there. The problem is the willingness of governments, particularly in the EU area. By the way, another banking crash is on the way in Europe, within 5 years, if proper enforcement of Basel 3, is not strictly adhered too. As lending, against capital reserves, is starting to rise again. Governments, will not take the decisions required, and Covid19 has made the situation worse.