RE: Pricing on LSE1 Jun 2020 14:50
Good morning, I have some observations about the presentation before the current redcloud one, where a government representative said even if a socialist government was formed it would be ok. Because any government would require the income. So over the last two weeks, I have been reading about Ecuador politics as current. I don't think we have anything to worry about. The two top parties are, PAIS, who is a democratic socialist party, this is the incumbent, and headed by Lenin Moreno. He only stood, because the last leader had served two terms and that is the limit to how many times you can be in power. The second party is the creating opportunities party, which is a more right wing capitalist party. This is a new party, about ten years old. They are about even in the polls. The way an election works, if any one party gets over 40%, and no other party meets this threshold, then they form a government. If no overall majority, then the top two parties have a run off, and the one who wins forms a government. In Feb 2017, Moreno won by just over 51% in the run off. He missed becoming the government, by 1%, as they scored 39% in the first round. So I see the 2021 election being between these two parties. Just to recap. The socialists are in power now, and as we know they are pro mining. I cannot find a statement on mining from the creating opportunities party, but as they have a capitalist outlook, I don't think they would represent a problem. Just one last thought. If Moreno wins next year, he cannot stand in 2025, as he would stood for two terms. Hope this is helpful