RE: Latest Hannam Note23 Jan 2021 16:48
Hello Monte.
The problem we have, is we are being valued on NPV, not NAV.
This is because we have a resource and not a business, as we have no revenue.
So if someone wanted to buy us, they would have to assess how much is was worth too them.
It would be cheap because of the time and constraints of building Alpala.
Remember we are talking about billions to buy and billions to bring to production with no revenue.
As the owners of Solgold we save on more than 50% of the cost, as we don't need to buy it, as we own it.
So that just leaves the last problem who builds it.
If we JV, the costs are taken care of, but we lose so much, so JV is selling Alpala cheap.
If we sell Solgold as a whole, we won't even get the value of Alpala based on NPV.
The reason for this is as shareholders we value our asset by NPV, anyone who builds this values it by NAV.
We maybe will get a buyer for Alpala or Solgold, but it will be after we build Alpala, so that as so many on here say the project is de-risked.
People said this was de-risked after hole 5, after the PEA and have been repeating it since. a few of the so called experts on here said it would be sold after the BHP standstill came to an end in October, the same people said we would be sold by Christmas. They then say NM has gone, so we are going to sell. they pay no attention to the RNS that clearly showed NM taking another role, and they are looking for a CEO to build this.
They are now saying that this will be sold after PFS or the election.
Every time these so called experts with all this cooperate experience get it wrong, it's me that doesn't understand how business works and I don't know what I am talking about.
I have been investing 40 years and seen this so many times.
You only need to know one thing.
That is know why you are personally invested, and looking at various scenario's understand what is the most likely outcome.
Keep an eye on things and don't be afraid to reassess things. ( on the facts, not what people say on here )
Just waiting for the next set of excuses after the election and PFS, when we are still not sold.
There will of course be the usual rubbish, that we can't build it.
But the engineers on here know this is rubbish.
I wonder what the armchair CEO's will say when we get a CFP and we raise the funding to build Alpala.
They will say it's a tactic to force a bid.
It's ridiculous.