Concern... please read.6 Apr 2018 12:27
Right. First let me repeat what I have said before: I am NOT an experienced investor. I don't mind making a fool of myself. So those of you who like to troll and slang can do so all you want, I don't care. :)). But the BENEFIT of your experience would be preferable. Personally, I am learning, sometimes painfully, sometimes not, but I have not worked in finance and cannot suddenly magic 40 years of city experience. So I would really appreciate the experience of those of you who have it.
My concern is based on
1. The 10 to 25% spread there has been since December. Varying enormously, but usually over 20%. Are they trying to restrict trading, and so hold down the price?
2. The quoted SP has frequently been outside the ask to bid spread. What does THAT mean? As above if it is nonsense info it may be to restrict trading.
3. I may be wrong, this is where I am certainly out of my depth, but it has seemed to me that while since December the company has certainly been a going concern, it has been valued at way, way, way below the value of its very valuable and saleable assets.
4. Last night I watched the launch through from lift off to after the separation and after the successful separation the relief of the faces of the Avanti team was very very obvious. So clearly a great deal hung on it. OK, there is still a way to go, but it looks like they are over the biggest hurdle. Any asset is always at some kind of risk, but that on HYLAS 4 has just decreased enormously. Did they say that it would more than double Avanti's capacity? And that capacity is what they sell. Yet the SP has not moved an inch.
For me these all raise question marks. I don't know what the possibilities are - there may be many - but I wonder if one of them is that once the financial thing is finalised the shareholders will be in a position to take it private. I don't know how that works, my first guess is that we original PI's get some sort of compulsory purchase at the going SP.
That would mean that those of you who have held this share a long time and kept the faith, and even supported the company by topping up and averaging down, would be being ripped off BIG TIME. The (American?) bondholder/shareholders would be getting a very valuable asset for peanuts. Yet another carve up.
If this isn't total nonsense how do we test it?
Thanks for listening.
PS. And what is this second RNS today? It's for the bondholders and I don't understand it, but it may be significant that it comes out the moment the successful launch has happened.