RE: POSITIVE SECTOR NEWS TODAY16 Jan 2020 16:27
Interesting that this chip sector rally is based on "hopes" and not more, and that it hasn't reached us! That may mean we are right at the bottom in terms of sentiment, if not SP.
IQE's last trading update in November is worth reading in full but this particularly stands out:
"The outlook for 2020 includes a seasonally weak Q1 and continued supply chain transitions in the wireless market. Beyond Q1 2020, IQE is cautiously optimistic about a return to growth, driven by expected content gains in an expanding market for 3D sensing, demand for GaN to meet accelerating 5G infrastructure deployments and expanding Asian market opportunities for both Photonics and Wireless products as supply chains continue to localise. Taking all of the above into account, the Company expects total revenue will return to moderate growth in 2020."
That meant we were always going to be hanging in the wind until we get results for Q2. And it destroyed hope. Great for those who are (a) not yet invested, and (b) very brave.
While we're naturally p'd off with Nelson and the board I don't remember them ever being dishonest (in fact I remember being impressed how immediately they dealt with a tax issue that came up from a US acquisition), so let's hope Nelson's comment from the same update turn out to be true: "IQE has experienced very challenging market conditions in 2019. Shortfalls in revenue relate predominantly to two major customers, WITH WHOM IQE IS CONFIDENT IT HAS NOT LOST SHARE and who remain very well positioned for returns to growth in 2020. Indeed, the Company remains well positioned to capitalise on an expanding future compound semiconductor market opportunity driven by the macro trends of 5G and connected devices." My capitals.
Having decided not to go in and out I've been just gritting my teeth. Jeffrey and jordie you have company! In far too deep. But I have found writing this some encouragement. The worry is, as some have said, being outflanked by alternative technologies. But at least Aixtron, who make the vapour deposition equipment has also rallied. ATB, all.