Pyebridge performance in reality9 Mar 2026 19:37
You have to delve deeply behind PK's claims. Pyebridge Co House accounts give breakdowns but only so far for 2024. PK's revenue claims include capacity payments incurring no costs, and grid sales which incur 80% costs for gas (in 2024) and another 10% for maintenance etc (before interest and tax) so what profit there is comes overwhelmingly from capacity payments, which vary 3-fold between 2024/5, and 2026/7. Remember also that 1) grid demand rose by 40% between August and January this year, (and will sink back by April) while wholesale elect prices doubled between Oct and Feb. Adjusting for these shows a lot less credit for Pyebridge than PK claims (surprise , surprise).
Will use these more accurate adjustments in next few days to predict QDE's real profit for this year and 2027. (2025 a big overall loss to be announced soon) . Probably continuing losses overall until at least 2029, and then miniscule.
But accounting rules might mean PK will 'consolidate' the SPV's, so pretending their profit comes to QDE, when the small print later in the accounts will show most of it actually belongs to the SPV majority owners. He's already used such pretence when saying big slug of Pyebridge loan was repaid last year 'from revenue' - which is an accounting impossibility.
Forthcoming 2025 accounts will show (for first time) how the results will be treated, including how much they will be 'window dressed' and how much accounting 'smoke and mirrors' will be applied.
Good to see that more and more on here are realising what PK isn't telling them.