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and if it succeeds all LTH can treat themselves to a new Tesla...

Wow Moon, you really are bitter. Someone must have really done a number on you in the past.
Don't worry, life is probably not as bad as you feel it is.

meal for one?
you sound very sad and bitter.

there are many search engines I would suggest using one to find contact details of The Smaritans and a good councillor to address your pent up anger.

shares move up, shares move down.
some of us LTH have been sat on huge paper losses for years but had faith in the potential.
To those who have bought in above the price now remember your losses only crystalize when you sell.

Set a stop loss, review it on a regular basis. Beware some of the games played on AIM to shake out stop losses prior to a rise.

Moon, I assume you made the rookie mistake once of buying a share on the rise only for it to fall back. I also assume you are looking for people to blame for your misfortune. There is only 1, you will see them when you look in the mirror. Not doing your own research, putting in more than you can afford to lose.

moon I wish you all the best, hope you find peace one day.

Kudos VCB. Great magnanimous post.

I still have something stuck in my mind about a bonus payable on t/o at or above 32.5p. Whilst this is a good return on where we are now it is still low against the potential value of the oil on farmin (subject to oil in play etc etc.) 32.5 makes a handful of lth BPC millionaires. I personally would prefer a farm in and to ride the wave as far as i can.

away from 100m mcap.
nice milestone to cross if we can finish above it.

sorry Kap, I think I understand what you are trying to get at, however, I think there are too many unknowns to speculate on the outcomes.

we don't know what level the farmin deal is going to be at - if it is concluded.
we don't know what the royalty rate will be (we know the rate by production tier)
we don't know the oil is commercially viable.
we have a wide spread of volume forecast.

rather than speculate on things outside of control why not just enjoy the ride at a level where if it falls to zero you can dust yourself off smile and chalk it up to experience. If it plays out at the top end of all expectations you can become very wealthy.

sure thing.
until we have any clarity on the outcome of the deal anything else is just opinion and guess work.
what is there to say a guess of 100 pct certainty of a deal in September is any more valid that a suggestion that the deal will be off the table in August?

don't get me wrong there are signs that things are progressing well but typically people jump to the defence of opinions that align with their own and ridicule opinions even when supported by valid reason that do not.

I think there is a very strong correlation between the outcome of the deal and the outcome of Schrodinger's cat.

not sure that helps.

but only maybe.
just trying to get my head around all of the whys on this RNS.
As always I can see positive and negative aspects.

Has been raised previously on this BB that SP may be delaying a deal in order to increase his holding. This removes that temptation. His deal today is as good as his deal in 12 months.

Would anyone willingly offer up 1.2m in accrued benefit without some confidence that the elements retained are worth more?

Also agree with posts that suggest this is the business protecting itself in terms of future liability reduction if the deal is not forthcoming.

has this deal been signed willingly or under duress?

all getting very exciting could be brilliant or bust in the next few weeks and months.
happy trading and GLA LTH.

So far all of the calcs i have seen on here assume that all acreage is bundled as one. If BPC are confident enough of the data why not take a punt on just one for the farm in? It could see them cash rich and with an income stream sufficient to conduct drilling without a partner in other acreages. 10 pct plus cash on first well less BG royalties. 100 pct no cash on subsequent wells less BG royalties.

MATD -
Hawk -
Thanks , it has been OK so far.
at the rate things are going today could be a 10% lift.
If I was a day trader there I would flip at that level.
Will see how the ride plays out over the next 6 months as a minimum.
Think 03 - 24 months is the window there.
Will not be surprised to see it fall back before it kicks on but longer term it could be anything from a free holiday (in a tent) through to a free holiday home by the beach.
That is the fun /(gamble) with shares like MATD and BPC.

It is the hope rather than the expectation that you might get a great return.

next target is a regular day trade share to add to the list, long term stable, short term swings.
Happy to take on board any suggestions?

Hawkspear.
I have done the deed today.
I am now officially also in the MATD club....what have I done?

I have left in my auto buy at the same trigger point (not yet met) but have given myself an interest in the game. Enough to skin my knuckles if it all comes up dry, enough to be happy if it comes up black and wet.

The risk of MATD progress before BPC was too much for me last night, wouldn't want to miss the boat on either.

Agree that both have very good upside potential.
Feel that there is more positive momentum behind BPC at the moment....but momentum can swing quickly.
Selfishly hoping that the BPC story is ahead of MATD, would be nice to time both crests.

I have set myself an entry point for MATD, thought I had pitched it low a few weeks ago (thought I had missed the boat) now it is getting close.

You will know if I have triggered my buy if you see me post anything there in the weeks and months ahead.

GLA

not intended as a way of comparison. Just as an anticipated cross over of price point on the shares.
Nothing more than an indicator of direction of travel.

forget market cap.
forget company lifecycle stage.
forget all the technical stuff.

At what stage do the BPC shares 1 for 1 become worth more than the MATD shares?

I do not hold MATD I am just a casual voyeur there, as such I can count my comments on the BB there on the fingers of my left ear.

6 months ago any talk of a deal would have been a surprise to me.
Today I would be more surprised if we do not get an offer of a deal in the next few months.
It might not be as attractive as we want, it might be on terms that BPC or BG refuse.
However, it might, just might be the deal that for some changes their life.

500% would be a very good start. There would be a few BPC millionaires on this BB at that point.
For now it would be nice to end the week higher than we started.
If we can manage that for a few weeks I will treat myself to a new coat when the weather turns.

yes the ramping can be annoying and repetitive.
equally the de-ramping can be just as bad.

I am not a fan of either.

personal attacks from an account that has clearly only been created to serve this purpose just feels a little childish.
if you are as you state a long term holder prove your worth by adding value to the debate with clear opinion or better still fact.

That said i am also in KDNC. Not had a pretty ride there so far. Still think it has potential but comes with risk flags attached. Not all of my investment goes as well as BPC or BMN. I am not a messiah....just a naughty boy (50 years ago) Again DYOR. Not a recommendation to invest just to investigate.