RE: Poppyseed………………………………………..19 Dec 2021 00:49
My take on the HMS asset. Hmmm. First and foremost the EA licence has now been granted by the DMR subject to any final appeals, in my opinion not likely to arise in any significant form, the earlier stages of approval have already passed through the same process. Think we can talk like it’s game on now.
Like yourself, I think it is now THE massive game changer for KZG and the scale of its promise is currently totally discounted. I could wax lyrical from my research on this asset but it's pretty much summed up in one sentence. When Align visited the SA operations around Mar/Apr, the Operations Manager reportedly said "If there was a Heavy Mineral Sands heaven, we are standing on it!".
Align added, "apparently it's one of the highest grades in the world. To say we are optimistic and assured in our forecasts is an understatement…we believe truly a company maker when licence awarded." That would be now then, subject to the expiry of the appeal period plus 6 months to get it going!
And that was before we knew:
• WHM already owns an adjacent area 34 times larger on which it is seeking a Prospecting Licence.
• "...the HMS deposits contain substantial diamond deposits which means that HMS miners cannot get permission to mine them. However, conversely, the density of the HMS makes it prohibitively expensive for diamond miners to extract diamonds. With Deep Blue having the right to mine diamonds and Whale Head holding the rights to mine HMS, the Company has overcome these issues...".
• the project has been assessed by an independent third party who has concluded that it contains a JORC compliant Indicated Mineral Resource of 3.11 million tons at a zero cut off grade of 61.2% valuable Heavy Minerals. Of these, Garnet (30.29% of ROM) and Ilmenite (27.54% of ROM) predominate...".
• the Company anticipates, within 6 months of the grant of the Mining Permit, generating 6,000 tons of HMS per month with an expected gross profit of in excess of $300,000 per month.
• as a by-product of the HMS operation, DBM now expects to generate around 300 ct per month of additional diamond production from the HMS operation.
• Beach diamonds tend to be larger and higher quality than those found inland and so it is expected that these diamonds will attract a premium at auction. Inland diamonds typically attract prices of circa $250 per carat, whereas the Company confidently expects these diamonds to exceed a price of $750 per carat.
All above details RNSed by the Company. Meanwhile, Align puts a 20% discounted NPV of £150m on this asset alone, 34 x larger, neighbouring asset with similar qualities not incl. There's more but I'm still loading so I'll leave it at that.
Diamonds, Tantalum, guess MV5 JV too, close to meaningful cashflow positive production + HMS near term, Lithium further out - MC £8m? Really?? Happy New Year indeed! For me the year the previous warm words will finally gain substance and be dynamically DrivEn forward...se