RE: April 2121 Jan 2022 20:46
tucson...no, of course I'm not, how would I know? jasehem had asked "Anyone remember when the objections need to be lodged by for the sands license - sure it was some time towards the end of Jan." My reply was in answer to that. I've previously posted up links showing the HMS Mining Licence is approved but subject to a standard procedure expiring on 25th Jan. I think it's reasonable to expect an announcement shortly after that, given that the routine appeals procedure has been part of every earlier stage of the licence process.
Yes, I've noted that we're on different pages re the need for current funding and I do think you are/will be shown to be completely wrong. One of us will be, for sure. For me, the matter of adequate funding through to cashflow positive has been dealt with in recent RNSs. Basically, a mixture of drawdown loans and conversion commitments from warrant holders (a whole lot more outstanding warrants funding available if needed) plus the first flow of record diamond production in the current cycle and first tantalum shipment, all as we move through Q1.
There may also be first flow from the new diamond processing JV, notably processing the diamonds of all the miners in the area, not just KZG's and of which there was a substantial stockpile because of the inadequacies and blockages of the previous operator, Alexkor. The positive effects of this JV in processing the area's diamonds should not be underestimated. It brought forth real change and is mainly behind why the diamond processing in the current cycle is so vastly different from anything that went before.
So, referring to the low level processing of earlier in the year is no way to judge what is happening now - for that, refer to the 1000 carat aspirations for the current cycle. This, in my opinion, will be more like the new norm - so, I'd say it's a time to take a forward view through the front windscreen rather than the rearview mirror where nothing much was happening. I don’t expect you’ll agree until you see the colour of it. Understandable.
As for HMS, yes, we are led to expect substantial production and income together with enhanced diamond production AND a significant increase in quality within 6 months of licence approval.
Overall – and obviously only my personal view – you will not see the placing you see as being needed. I'm relaxed that they have taken adequate steps to secure sufficient funding from shareholders, other lenders and warrant holders to see them through to the imminent cashflow expected from diamonds, tantalum, perhaps the JV and thereafter HMS in near-term bucketloads.
I’d say give the new dynamic broom CEO a chance and prepare to be surprised, not least by statements you will be able to hang your hat on! ATB