ITV8 Nov 2025 16:01
I'm still thinking that Malone secured a 5% stake sale that's already been floated by the market. Everything between the lines is too visible.. Money is made in silence, especially when it comes to Malone and any personnal and financial agreements that were finalized. I don't want to speculate or repeat rumors or gossip that have reached my ears. Regarding the ITV shares remaining in Liberty Global's hands, I believe the cards have also been dealt. The only question is the price that interested parties, those who are here besides SKY, and those interested in Studio, will be willing to pay. It's also important to remember that selling these assets too low by Liberty Global would force the board to answer to its shareholders. And the transaction that has already taken place, if ITV's valuation reaches the level we think it will, will likely force the Liberty Global board to reveal at least some of its behind-the-scenes details. As we've already discussed here, and as we suggested before Thursday, the sale of that 5% paved the way for a company split or takeover. What matters now is the size of the bids and the buyers' determination. I'm not worried about ITV's management, and especially Dame. She's a successful woman, and as such, she'll leave ITV upon retirement. And she won't sell her skin for a pittance. This was evident from earlier offers valuing ITV at around Β£3 billion, and from the treatment of those seeking easy money here. Dame also guarantees a price of at least Β£2. Let's add that, realistically looking at profit forecasts and only as a conservative option, this valuation should be easily achieved with a stable 1.5% GDP growth in 2026. According to financial analysts, this growth should translate into at least 5% of advertising revenue. When we think about ITV, looking at the event calendar, this could mean a 7-10% growth rate. So, I advise you to carefully estimate ITV's valuation, based on operating profits, for example. As for the future, I think we'll reach the Β£1 mark relatively quickly. Then the market will observe the results of negotiations, compare macroeconomic indicators, and we'll wait for the impatient competition to make a move. We'll wait at least six months. I also believe in regulatory approval. Resistance to US money is being tempered by Trump, who would likely treat it in his own unique style. And this government probably won't allow that. Especially since he sold Royal Mail without batting an eye. But now, let's not speculate. Let's wait for the budget. The announced lack of further burdens on businesses and the strengthening of the capital market through changes to the ISA, even in the event of an increase in income tax rates, should be well-received by the market and become a foundation for growth. I'm not a supporter of this government, but as an economist, I clearly see the source of the problems and assess the direction of possible attempts to remedy the situation. Patience is the key to success.