RE: Christmas14 Dec 2022 14:07
I stick with Adam on this one. He knows his stuff. Worst case he comes on the VAL board if he wishes if they make any more bad moves. I think he would get 100% support for real holders.
Great post by Adam:
RE: The Naivety of the BOD is Breathtaking Today 12:41
1. Speculation. See C4X/Sanofi. Il-17 inhibitor partnered for a 400ME package, at a stage barely beyond where we are at with KCTNBC. There's lots of others, too - look up RedX and AZ, and RedX and Jazz. All partnered with compounds months only ahead of ours.
2. Speculation. Name me three “significantly lower risk M&A” offerings, with “quicker returns”, and why.
3. Google Ken and Patrick. There’s a lot of previous M&A (including listed outfits) activity. I am not in any way defending their poorly-executed one-sided “deal” here, but you are materially incorrect with that statement about Ken.
4. The one point I agree with. Deal as above.
5. This is the right approach. You’d raise at 8p for an over-priced “Client list”, which you simply do not need in this sphere. I know this because I own one of a small number of GLP -certified, MHRA-accredited labs. Started from scratch. Capacity met within 4 months. Over-subscribed now for 10 years straight. Initial scaling will demonstrate to a potential II (should expansion be warranted – which I think it will), a growth potential for investment. It’s a no-brainer for me.
6. You have no idea how successful this will be in 2023. I have an idea, because I’ve done it. I know what they’re going to offer, and I know that they will, likely within the year, already be under-capacity. Believe me, is you offer a reliable niche service, Clients will literally “fall from the sky”.
7. If you’d raise at the lowest SP with a 8-10 month runway and potential inflection points, fair enough. I wouldn’t. I’d get the lab spinning 1Q 2023, which they are doing.
8. This is for the BOD to answer, but they may be in a closed period still, with 201/TX.
So, all in all, a good point in there Porky, which we agree on.