RE: Massive open coming17 Dec 2025 09:37
Element - i agree that any increase to grade or gold price is straight to bottom line Pre tax but the unknown risk for the large players is how long gold will hold at these prices and potentially more? This unknown is why i think the gold producers will trade at a discount as they currently are. However if after 2-3 years we have a new norm of 4000k+ an oz and the likelihood of that going below this level reduces with time, then a re-rating of every gold stock will happen definitely and we could see significant uplift in all gold producers to multiples of current price.
This is just my opinion but i do hold several gold stocks and GGP being my largest holding and no intention of selling at this point in time. One of the reasons i hold several gold stocks is that i am on the side that we are seeing now a higher gold price due to asian central bank buying and a wealthier indian population that love gold amongst many other reasons and this price is here to stay. I am banking on this price now being the new norm and with that the cashflows of many gold producers over the next 12-18 months will become insane and potentially we will see some gold stocks overshoot as a result. All positive for the sector with the only fly in the ointment being a market correction which is due at some stage BUT what impact that will have on gold and ultimately gold stocks is yet to be seen.