Reply to Peoplepower23 Aug 2023 12:53
I must have come on this site about Feb. 2018,saying that the only way for Internet shopping was up,and that the High Street wqs dead.I posted at i think 190 that i was looking for a bottom of 135 or possibly 123p.Unfortunately i missed it at 139p,but i remember on the way up i suggested a buy at 167 on a pullback wouldn't be bad idea.Which is where it turned and headed up.
just before i was returning from Tenerife covid struck,and the market was in freefall.I got home and loaded up with supplies as quick as i could.In what turned out to be a "B" wave when it shot from 157 to 415,i remember posting that 274 might be a top,not sure now as it's been a while.
I came back on when it was circa 200p on the way down,and put in a support level,and said that 152p was a support.But i remember that it went straight through the 152 support without stopping and landed well below 152.I then decided that it was a catch a falling knife scenario,so i left it all well alone.
I did post a few things back then,but didn't put up a prediction, as in the past i had been viciously lambasted on here when i did.
As for Internet shopping,with people having less and less time ,and the roads and transport,going to pot (one journey to London between rush hours morn/afternoon,middle of the week, supposedly 1 hour 40,took me 3 hours 30!!!!),people just end up shopping online.Most people are being run ragged in what ever they have to do,so they look for what's quickest,now and in the future.
I'm going to look at the Footsie and the Dow to see if Burry's Predition will come to pass.I already know that if there is a fall,it's not the big one.I have my own calculation that i update each year,so i know where the absolute top is,and as the Footsie spiked up in 1987,and hit my figure that i had then,and collapsed,i'll go with my calculation as to where it's really going to tank.
No better chance for a really massive correction than the Covid crash.But the y decided that they would't let Armaggedon happen,so they plumped for Furlough instead,that saved most,but not all.They didn't want a major world wide depression as in the 30's when they decided to have Deflation,that wrecked everybody's lives and led to the rise of Hitler (before then he only had 5/7% of the national vote).
They found that deflation was terribly difficult to turn around,as when people lost their farms etc.nobody wanted to start any sort of business at all.Talk about a wrong move!!!!.This time they are using a bit of inflation to smooth things out,but NOT rampant Inflation.It's a difficult juggling act.
One day the Property bubble will burst (or they will use inflation to keep it going,it will end SOMETIME,as all bubbles do),and the Stock Market will suffer another 73% decline as in '73.When that happens those that are smart,will become the new super rich,and those that have let the grass grow under their feet,and have more money than sense,will suffer a sharp reality check that will probably be Life cha